Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 31–33°C for Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Malaysian Meteorological Department's forecast of a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, following today's observed 34°C peak. This close matchup reflects inherent uncertainty in tropical diurnal convection: early or widespread thunderstorms could cap solar insolation and limit highs to 31–32°C, while delayed or patchy storms permit 33–34°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show a 32–34°C ensemble spread, consistent with April's climatological average of 33°C but elevated 0.4°C above normal amid persistent heat. Resolution hinges on official station data; check Met Malaysia updates overnight for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 16?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 16?
32°C 40%
33°C 38%
31°C 29%
34°C 14%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
23%
32°C
33%
33°C
38%
34°C
14%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
9%
32°C 40%
33°C 38%
31°C 29%
34°C 14%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
23%
32°C
33%
33°C
38%
34°C
14%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 31–33°C for Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Malaysian Meteorological Department's forecast of a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, following today's observed 34°C peak. This close matchup reflects inherent uncertainty in tropical diurnal convection: early or widespread thunderstorms could cap solar insolation and limit highs to 31–32°C, while delayed or patchy storms permit 33–34°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show a 32–34°C ensemble spread, consistent with April's climatological average of 33°C but elevated 0.4°C above normal amid persistent heat. Resolution hinges on official station data; check Met Malaysia updates overnight for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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