MetService's latest forecast update on April 14 projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Wellington Central today under fine skies with northerlies turning southerly, driving the market's 66% implied probability on that outcome as traders align with this official guidance from New Zealand's national weather service. This positioning reflects model consensus for mostly clear conditions favoring daytime heating, consistent with April climatology where average highs range 16–17°C amid autumn cooling, though light cloud patches introduce modest uncertainty for 19°C (12%) or 17°C (9.5%). Low odds on 20°C or higher (1.6%) underscore limited intensification potential without stronger solar input or föhn winds. Real-time observations from Wellington stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any forecast revisions possible midday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
4月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
18°C 93%
19°C 4.0%
20°C或更高 <1%
17°C <1%
最新
$99,347 交易量
最新
$99,347 交易量
2026-04-15
17°C
<1%
18°C
93%
19°C
4%
20°C或更高
1%
18°C 93%
19°C 4.0%
20°C或更高 <1%
17°C <1%
最新
$99,347 交易量
最新
$99,347 交易量
2026-04-15
17°C
$18,183 交易量
<1%
18°C
$7,122 交易量
93%
19°C
$9,210 交易量
4%
20°C或更高
$10,698 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update on April 14 projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Wellington Central today under fine skies with northerlies turning southerly, driving the market's 66% implied probability on that outcome as traders align with this official guidance from New Zealand's national weather service. This positioning reflects model consensus for mostly clear conditions favoring daytime heating, consistent with April climatology where average highs range 16–17°C amid autumn cooling, though light cloud patches introduce modest uncertainty for 19°C (12%) or 17°C (9.5%). Low odds on 20°C or higher (1.6%) underscore limited intensification potential without stronger solar input or föhn winds. Real-time observations from Wellington stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any forecast revisions possible midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$99,347结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update on April 14 projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Wellington Central today under fine skies with northerlies turning southerly, driving the market's 66% implied probability on that outcome as traders align with this official guidance from New Zealand's national weather service. This positioning reflects model consensus for mostly clear conditions favoring daytime heating, consistent with April climatology where average highs range 16–17°C amid autumn cooling, though light cloud patches introduce modest uncertainty for 19°C (12%) or 17°C (9.5%). Low odds on 20°C or higher (1.6%) underscore limited intensification potential without stronger solar input or föhn winds. Real-time observations from Wellington stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any forecast revisions possible midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$99,347结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETMetService's latest forecast update on April 14 projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Wellington Central today under fine skies with northerlies turning southerly, driving the market's 66% implied probability on that outcome as traders align with this official guidance from New Zealand's national weather service. This positioning reflects model consensus for mostly clear conditions favoring daytime heating, consistent with April climatology where average highs range 16–17°C amid autumn cooling, though light cloud patches introduce modest uncertainty for 19°C (12%) or 17°C (9.5%). Low odds on 20°C or higher (1.6%) underscore limited intensification potential without stronger solar input or föhn winds. Real-time observations from Wellington stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any forecast revisions possible midday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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