Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 16, driven by BMKG forecasts of partly cloudy skies with light rain chances during Indonesia's seasonal transition period (April 10–16), capping diurnal heating around 32–34°C. Recent light morning showers on April 15 cooled surface temps, while high humidity (80–90%) and urban heat island effects in the capital could push peaks higher if afternoon clearing occurs. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus highs near 33°C (91°F), aligning with April climatology (average 32°C), but convective activity and sea breeze timing create divergence—morning clouds favor 32°C, sunnier breaks support 33–34°C. New model runs overnight and BMKG updates will refine odds before resolution via official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 16?
33°C 48%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 14%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
14%
32°C
23%
33°C
31%
34°C
33%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 48%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 14%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
14%
32°C
23%
33°C
31%
34°C
33%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 16, driven by BMKG forecasts of partly cloudy skies with light rain chances during Indonesia's seasonal transition period (April 10–16), capping diurnal heating around 32–34°C. Recent light morning showers on April 15 cooled surface temps, while high humidity (80–90%) and urban heat island effects in the capital could push peaks higher if afternoon clearing occurs. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus highs near 33°C (91°F), aligning with April climatology (average 32°C), but convective activity and sea breeze timing create divergence—morning clouds favor 32°C, sunnier breaks support 33–34°C. New model runs overnight and BMKG updates will refine odds before resolution via official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题