Latest ensemble forecast models, including those from AccuWeather aligned with China Meteorological Administration observations, project Chengdu's high temperature on April 16 at around 25-26°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk (11%), fueling the narrow trader spread across 24°C (24.5% implied probability), 25°C (27%), and 26°C or higher (23%). This reflects mid-spring diurnal heating trends in the humid Sichuan Basin, where persistent low-level stratus clouds often cap peaks 1-2°C below clearer analogs, amid a recent warming sequence from 23-24°C highs earlier this week. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud thinning for extra insolation versus potential convective buildup; evening model updates from CMA could refine this before resolution at Shuangliu International Airport. Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring model uncertainty in urban heat island effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 16?
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
26°C or higher 23%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
13%
23°C
15%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C or higher
23%
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
26°C or higher 23%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
16°C or below
$285 交易量
1%
17°C
$186 交易量
1%
18°C
$559 交易量
2%
19°C
$591 交易量
2%
20°C
$575 交易量
3%
21°C
$331 交易量
6%
22°C
$77 交易量
13%
23°C
$50 交易量
15%
24°C
$41 交易量
24%
25°C
$45 交易量
28%
26°C or higher
$5 交易量
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecast models, including those from AccuWeather aligned with China Meteorological Administration observations, project Chengdu's high temperature on April 16 at around 25-26°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk (11%), fueling the narrow trader spread across 24°C (24.5% implied probability), 25°C (27%), and 26°C or higher (23%). This reflects mid-spring diurnal heating trends in the humid Sichuan Basin, where persistent low-level stratus clouds often cap peaks 1-2°C below clearer analogs, amid a recent warming sequence from 23-24°C highs earlier this week. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud thinning for extra insolation versus potential convective buildup; evening model updates from CMA could refine this before resolution at Shuangliu International Airport. Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring model uncertainty in urban heat island effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
交易量
$2,746结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecast models, including those from AccuWeather aligned with China Meteorological Administration observations, project Chengdu's high temperature on April 16 at around 25-26°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk (11%), fueling the narrow trader spread across 24°C (24.5% implied probability), 25°C (27%), and 26°C or higher (23%). This reflects mid-spring diurnal heating trends in the humid Sichuan Basin, where persistent low-level stratus clouds often cap peaks 1-2°C below clearer analogs, amid a recent warming sequence from 23-24°C highs earlier this week. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud thinning for extra insolation versus potential convective buildup; evening model updates from CMA could refine this before resolution at Shuangliu International Airport. Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring model uncertainty in urban heat island effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,746结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ETLatest ensemble forecast models, including those from AccuWeather aligned with China Meteorological Administration observations, project Chengdu's high temperature on April 16 at around 25-26°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk (11%), fueling the narrow trader spread across 24°C (24.5% implied probability), 25°C (27%), and 26°C or higher (23%). This reflects mid-spring diurnal heating trends in the humid Sichuan Basin, where persistent low-level stratus clouds often cap peaks 1-2°C below clearer analogs, amid a recent warming sequence from 23-24°C highs earlier this week. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud thinning for extra insolation versus potential convective buildup; evening model updates from CMA could refine this before resolution at Shuangliu International Airport. Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring model uncertainty in urban heat island effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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