Trader consensus favors 29°C at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C, mirroring the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest guidance projecting a 27-29°C maximum for April 16 amid light northerly winds of 10-25 km/h and minimal cloud cover. Yesterday's observed peak of 27.6°C at Tacubaya observatory underscores a warming trend above the April climatological average of ~26°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation over the 2,240-meter-high valley. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 29°C, versus persistent sunshine and urban heat island amplification at Benito Juárez airport—primary resolution site—pushing toward 30°C; ensemble forecast models exhibit ~1°C spread. Watch SMN hourly bulletins for evolving conditions nearing resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?
29°C 31%
28°C 28%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
31%
30°C
23%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
6%
29°C 31%
28°C 28%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
22°C or below
$430 交易量
<1%
23°C
$470 交易量
<1%
24°C
$184 交易量
1%
25°C
$14 交易量
6%
26°C
$49 交易量
11%
27°C
$88 交易量
16%
28°C
$3 交易量
28%
29°C
$8 交易量
31%
30°C
$8 交易量
23%
31°C
$27 交易量
6%
32°C or higher
$25 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 29°C at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C, mirroring the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest guidance projecting a 27-29°C maximum for April 16 amid light northerly winds of 10-25 km/h and minimal cloud cover. Yesterday's observed peak of 27.6°C at Tacubaya observatory underscores a warming trend above the April climatological average of ~26°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation over the 2,240-meter-high valley. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 29°C, versus persistent sunshine and urban heat island amplification at Benito Juárez airport—primary resolution site—pushing toward 30°C; ensemble forecast models exhibit ~1°C spread. Watch SMN hourly bulletins for evolving conditions nearing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
交易量
$1,286结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 29°C at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C, mirroring the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest guidance projecting a 27-29°C maximum for April 16 amid light northerly winds of 10-25 km/h and minimal cloud cover. Yesterday's observed peak of 27.6°C at Tacubaya observatory underscores a warming trend above the April climatological average of ~26°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation over the 2,240-meter-high valley. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 29°C, versus persistent sunshine and urban heat island amplification at Benito Juárez airport—primary resolution site—pushing toward 30°C; ensemble forecast models exhibit ~1°C spread. Watch SMN hourly bulletins for evolving conditions nearing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,286结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETTrader consensus favors 29°C at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C, mirroring the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest guidance projecting a 27-29°C maximum for April 16 amid light northerly winds of 10-25 km/h and minimal cloud cover. Yesterday's observed peak of 27.6°C at Tacubaya observatory underscores a warming trend above the April climatological average of ~26°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation over the 2,240-meter-high valley. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 29°C, versus persistent sunshine and urban heat island amplification at Benito Juárez airport—primary resolution site—pushing toward 30°C; ensemble forecast models exhibit ~1°C spread. Watch SMN hourly bulletins for evolving conditions nearing resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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