Trader consensus favors a Shenzhen high of 29°C (43.5% implied probability) or 30°C (32.5%) on April 16, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international forecast models projecting peaks near 29°C under partly cloudy skies. A high-pressure ridge over southern China suppresses rainfall, fostering light winds and efficient daytime heating in the region's humid subtropical climate, where sea surface temperatures exceed 24°C enhance warmth. Recent observations show April highs averaging 28-29°C, including a 29°C forecast for April 15, exceeding the climatological April mean of 26.3°C amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern. Ensemble models indicate uncertainty between 28-30°C due to potential cloud variability and sea breeze effects, with updated CMA bulletins expected overnight ahead of resolution via official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16?
29°C 47%
30°C 32%
28°C 18%
27°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
18%
29°C
47%
30°C
32%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 47%
30°C 32%
28°C 18%
27°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
22°C or below
$384 交易量
1%
23°C
$780 交易量
<1%
24°C
$470 交易量
1%
25°C
$383 交易量
1%
26°C
$66 交易量
3%
27°C
$540 交易量
8%
28°C
$155 交易量
18%
29°C
$44 交易量
47%
30°C
$98 交易量
32%
31°C
$261 交易量
5%
32°C or higher
$33 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a Shenzhen high of 29°C (43.5% implied probability) or 30°C (32.5%) on April 16, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international forecast models projecting peaks near 29°C under partly cloudy skies. A high-pressure ridge over southern China suppresses rainfall, fostering light winds and efficient daytime heating in the region's humid subtropical climate, where sea surface temperatures exceed 24°C enhance warmth. Recent observations show April highs averaging 28-29°C, including a 29°C forecast for April 15, exceeding the climatological April mean of 26.3°C amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern. Ensemble models indicate uncertainty between 28-30°C due to potential cloud variability and sea breeze effects, with updated CMA bulletins expected overnight ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
交易量
$3,163结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a Shenzhen high of 29°C (43.5% implied probability) or 30°C (32.5%) on April 16, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international forecast models projecting peaks near 29°C under partly cloudy skies. A high-pressure ridge over southern China suppresses rainfall, fostering light winds and efficient daytime heating in the region's humid subtropical climate, where sea surface temperatures exceed 24°C enhance warmth. Recent observations show April highs averaging 28-29°C, including a 29°C forecast for April 15, exceeding the climatological April mean of 26.3°C amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern. Ensemble models indicate uncertainty between 28-30°C due to potential cloud variability and sea breeze effects, with updated CMA bulletins expected overnight ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,163结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ETTrader consensus favors a Shenzhen high of 29°C (43.5% implied probability) or 30°C (32.5%) on April 16, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international forecast models projecting peaks near 29°C under partly cloudy skies. A high-pressure ridge over southern China suppresses rainfall, fostering light winds and efficient daytime heating in the region's humid subtropical climate, where sea surface temperatures exceed 24°C enhance warmth. Recent observations show April highs averaging 28-29°C, including a 29°C forecast for April 15, exceeding the climatological April mean of 26.3°C amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern. Ensemble models indicate uncertainty between 28-30°C due to potential cloud variability and sea breeze effects, with updated CMA bulletins expected overnight ahead of resolution via official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题