The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest short-range forecast projects a daytime maximum of 17°C for Amsterdam on April 16 under partly sunny conditions with light showers (30% chance) and southwest winds at force 3, positioning 16°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 42.5% as traders account for cloud-induced suppression of peak heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover near 17-18°C, reflecting a mild southerly flow amid a spring warming trend, but inherent forecast uncertainty from shower timing favors conservatism over the official guidance. Recent observations show above-average highs—14°C on April 12 and 20°C inland early April—elevating expectations beyond the 13°C mid-April climatology. Overnight model updates and morning Schiphol Airport readings will likely shift odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
16°C 43%
15°C 25%
17°C 16%
18°C 14%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
25%
16°C
43%
17°C
16%
18°C
14%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 43%
15°C 25%
17°C 16%
18°C 14%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
25%
16°C
43%
17°C
16%
18°C
14%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest short-range forecast projects a daytime maximum of 17°C for Amsterdam on April 16 under partly sunny conditions with light showers (30% chance) and southwest winds at force 3, positioning 16°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 42.5% as traders account for cloud-induced suppression of peak heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover near 17-18°C, reflecting a mild southerly flow amid a spring warming trend, but inherent forecast uncertainty from shower timing favors conservatism over the official guidance. Recent observations show above-average highs—14°C on April 12 and 20°C inland early April—elevating expectations beyond the 13°C mid-April climatology. Overnight model updates and morning Schiphol Airport readings will likely shift odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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