Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 16, reflecting trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability and aligning with forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS that projected highs of 15-17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering settled, partly cloudy conditions over Western Europe. Mild spring-like advection of continental air, combined with light southerly winds and daytime cloud cover, capped warming potential consistent with climatological April norms around 13°C average highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare data revisions from quality control processes or instrument recalibrations, though such occurrences are minimal in automated meteorological networks; final KNMI daily bulletin expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$64,553 交易量
$64,553 交易量
2026-04-16
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$64,553 交易量
$64,553 交易量
2026-04-16
10°C or below
$513 交易量
No
11°C
$953 交易量
No
12°C
$1,256 交易量
No
13°C
$3,247 交易量
No
14°C
$10,788 交易量
No
15°C
$6,748 交易量
No
16°C
$12,826 交易量
Yes
17°C
$12,385 交易量
No
18°C
$7,395 交易量
No
19°C
$5,681 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$2,760 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 16, reflecting trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability and aligning with forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS that projected highs of 15-17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering settled, partly cloudy conditions over Western Europe. Mild spring-like advection of continental air, combined with light southerly winds and daytime cloud cover, capped warming potential consistent with climatological April norms around 13°C average highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare data revisions from quality control processes or instrument recalibrations, though such occurrences are minimal in automated meteorological networks; final KNMI daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$64,553结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 16, reflecting trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability and aligning with forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS that projected highs of 15-17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering settled, partly cloudy conditions over Western Europe. Mild spring-like advection of continental air, combined with light southerly winds and daytime cloud cover, capped warming potential consistent with climatological April norms around 13°C average highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare data revisions from quality control processes or instrument recalibrations, though such occurrences are minimal in automated meteorological networks; final KNMI daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,553结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 16, reflecting trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability and aligning with forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS that projected highs of 15-17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering settled, partly cloudy conditions over Western Europe. Mild spring-like advection of continental air, combined with light southerly winds and daytime cloud cover, capped warming potential consistent with climatological April norms around 13°C average highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare data revisions from quality control processes or instrument recalibrations, though such occurrences are minimal in automated meteorological networks; final KNMI daily bulletin expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题