Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Panama City's highest temperature on April 16, with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–33°C amid persistent upper-level ridging and low soil moisture from the waning dry season. The narrow spread between 33°C (39.5% implied probability) and 32°C (32.0%) stems from subtle differences in predicted afternoon sea breeze timing and isolated cumulus cloud cover, which could suppress peaks by 1°C at the official Tocumen Airport station; 34°C odds (19.0%) account for stronger insolation scenarios. April climatology averages 32°C highs with rare exceedances above 34°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty. Evening model runs and dawn soundings may sharpen positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on April 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 16?
32°C 38%
31°C 27%
33°C 26%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
29°C or below
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
38%
33°C
26%
34°C
18%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
32°C 38%
31°C 27%
33°C 26%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
29°C or below
$69 交易量
4%
30°C
$39 交易量
8%
31°C
$27 交易量
27%
32°C
$11 交易量
38%
33°C
$18 交易量
26%
34°C
$17 交易量
18%
35°C
$15 交易量
9%
36°C
$10 交易量
5%
37°C
$224 交易量
1%
38°C
$355 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$360 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Panama City's highest temperature on April 16, with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–33°C amid persistent upper-level ridging and low soil moisture from the waning dry season. The narrow spread between 33°C (39.5% implied probability) and 32°C (32.0%) stems from subtle differences in predicted afternoon sea breeze timing and isolated cumulus cloud cover, which could suppress peaks by 1°C at the official Tocumen Airport station; 34°C odds (19.0%) account for stronger insolation scenarios. April climatology averages 32°C highs with rare exceedances above 34°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty. Evening model runs and dawn soundings may sharpen positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
交易量
$1,081结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Panama City's highest temperature on April 16, with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–33°C amid persistent upper-level ridging and low soil moisture from the waning dry season. The narrow spread between 33°C (39.5% implied probability) and 32°C (32.0%) stems from subtle differences in predicted afternoon sea breeze timing and isolated cumulus cloud cover, which could suppress peaks by 1°C at the official Tocumen Airport station; 34°C odds (19.0%) account for stronger insolation scenarios. April climatology averages 32°C highs with rare exceedances above 34°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty. Evening model runs and dawn soundings may sharpen positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,081结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Panama City's highest temperature on April 16, with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–33°C amid persistent upper-level ridging and low soil moisture from the waning dry season. The narrow spread between 33°C (39.5% implied probability) and 32°C (32.0%) stems from subtle differences in predicted afternoon sea breeze timing and isolated cumulus cloud cover, which could suppress peaks by 1°C at the official Tocumen Airport station; 34°C odds (19.0%) account for stronger insolation scenarios. April climatology averages 32°C highs with rare exceedances above 34°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty. Evening model runs and dawn soundings may sharpen positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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