Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 around 18-20°C under partly cloudy skies, reflecting post-frontal recovery from the April 12 cold snap that capped highs below 17°C, with southerly moisture advection boosting mild air masses since April 13. Trader consensus clusters here due to model agreement on 850 hPa temperatures near 10°C but divergences in boundary layer mixing and cloud persistence from lingering frontal remnants or nearby Tropical Depression 92W southeast of the city, which could suppress peaks by 1-2°C via reduced insolation. Official China Meteorological Administration data and Shanghai Pudong station readings will resolve; expect 00Z/12Z updates today to refine odds amid typical spring East Asian jet variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
19°C 32%
18°C 28%
20°C 28%
21°C 9%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
28%
19°C
32%
20°C
28%
21°C
9%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 32%
18°C 28%
20°C 28%
21°C 9%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
28%
19°C
32%
20°C
28%
21°C
9%
22°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 around 18-20°C under partly cloudy skies, reflecting post-frontal recovery from the April 12 cold snap that capped highs below 17°C, with southerly moisture advection boosting mild air masses since April 13. Trader consensus clusters here due to model agreement on 850 hPa temperatures near 10°C but divergences in boundary layer mixing and cloud persistence from lingering frontal remnants or nearby Tropical Depression 92W southeast of the city, which could suppress peaks by 1-2°C via reduced insolation. Official China Meteorological Administration data and Shanghai Pudong station readings will resolve; expect 00Z/12Z updates today to refine odds amid typical spring East Asian jet variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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