The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 06:05 HKT on April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C today amid sunny periods, a southerly airstream, and an anticyclone aloft fostering hot, stable conditions over Guangdong's coast. This aligns with trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for 29°C, building on yesterday's 28.8°C peak at the Observatory—where urban heat island effects amplified readings, with stations like Tai Po hitting 30.7°C—and above-normal seasonal temperatures. Forecasts note low shower risk today, tempering 30°C+ odds at 15%, while cloudier scenarios support 28°C at 16.8%; cooler outcomes are negligible given climatological April highs averaging 25°C but trending warmer. Next update due at 11:30 HKT, with observations resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?
29°C 52%
28°C 33.1%
30°C or higher 16%
26°C <1%
最新
$102,746 交易量
最新
$102,746 交易量
2026-04-15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
28%
29°C
52%
30°C or higher
16%
29°C 52%
28°C 33.1%
30°C or higher 16%
26°C <1%
最新
$102,746 交易量
最新
$102,746 交易量
2026-04-15
20°C or below
$3,509 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,992 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,063 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,007 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,504 交易量
<1%
25°C
$9,009 交易量
<1%
26°C
$25,475 交易量
<1%
27°C
$21,920 交易量
<1%
28°C
$16,101 交易量
28%
29°C
$6,467 交易量
52%
30°C or higher
$11,147 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 06:05 HKT on April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C today amid sunny periods, a southerly airstream, and an anticyclone aloft fostering hot, stable conditions over Guangdong's coast. This aligns with trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for 29°C, building on yesterday's 28.8°C peak at the Observatory—where urban heat island effects amplified readings, with stations like Tai Po hitting 30.7°C—and above-normal seasonal temperatures. Forecasts note low shower risk today, tempering 30°C+ odds at 15%, while cloudier scenarios support 28°C at 16.8%; cooler outcomes are negligible given climatological April highs averaging 25°C but trending warmer. Next update due at 11:30 HKT, with observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
交易量
$102,746结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 06:05 HKT on April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C today amid sunny periods, a southerly airstream, and an anticyclone aloft fostering hot, stable conditions over Guangdong's coast. This aligns with trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for 29°C, building on yesterday's 28.8°C peak at the Observatory—where urban heat island effects amplified readings, with stations like Tai Po hitting 30.7°C—and above-normal seasonal temperatures. Forecasts note low shower risk today, tempering 30°C+ odds at 15%, while cloudier scenarios support 28°C at 16.8%; cooler outcomes are negligible given climatological April highs averaging 25°C but trending warmer. Next update due at 11:30 HKT, with observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$102,746结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 06:05 HKT on April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C today amid sunny periods, a southerly airstream, and an anticyclone aloft fostering hot, stable conditions over Guangdong's coast. This aligns with trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for 29°C, building on yesterday's 28.8°C peak at the Observatory—where urban heat island effects amplified readings, with stations like Tai Po hitting 30.7°C—and above-normal seasonal temperatures. Forecasts note low shower risk today, tempering 30°C+ odds at 15%, while cloudier scenarios support 28°C at 16.8%; cooler outcomes are negligible given climatological April highs averaging 25°C but trending warmer. Next update due at 11:30 HKT, with observations resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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