Traders heavily favor a 32°C high in Taipei today at 63% implied probability, driven by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast of partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and daytime highs up to 31°C at Taipei Songshan Airport station, amid a week-long warm spell featuring prior peaks of 31-33°C, including yesterday's 31°C maximum. Sustained subtropical high pressure and warm air advection from the south support midday heating potential to breach 32°C during sunny intervals, per model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, though scattered showers introduce uncertainty. Historical April averages hover near 27°C, but urban heat island effects at Songshan elevate urban peaks; monitor CWA hourly updates for intraday shifts as observations accumulate through afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
32°C 84%
33°C 14%
34°C 1.4%
35°C or higher <1%
最新
$99,784 交易量
最新
$99,784 交易量
2026-04-15
31°C
<1%
32°C
84%
33°C
14%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 84%
33°C 14%
34°C 1.4%
35°C or higher <1%
最新
$99,784 交易量
最新
$99,784 交易量
2026-04-15
31°C
$8,668 交易量
<1%
32°C
$6,696 交易量
84%
33°C
$5,871 交易量
14%
34°C
$10,110 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$13,970 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders heavily favor a 32°C high in Taipei today at 63% implied probability, driven by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast of partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and daytime highs up to 31°C at Taipei Songshan Airport station, amid a week-long warm spell featuring prior peaks of 31-33°C, including yesterday's 31°C maximum. Sustained subtropical high pressure and warm air advection from the south support midday heating potential to breach 32°C during sunny intervals, per model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, though scattered showers introduce uncertainty. Historical April averages hover near 27°C, but urban heat island effects at Songshan elevate urban peaks; monitor CWA hourly updates for intraday shifts as observations accumulate through afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$99,784结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders heavily favor a 32°C high in Taipei today at 63% implied probability, driven by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast of partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and daytime highs up to 31°C at Taipei Songshan Airport station, amid a week-long warm spell featuring prior peaks of 31-33°C, including yesterday's 31°C maximum. Sustained subtropical high pressure and warm air advection from the south support midday heating potential to breach 32°C during sunny intervals, per model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, though scattered showers introduce uncertainty. Historical April averages hover near 27°C, but urban heat island effects at Songshan elevate urban peaks; monitor CWA hourly updates for intraday shifts as observations accumulate through afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$99,784结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETTraders heavily favor a 32°C high in Taipei today at 63% implied probability, driven by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast of partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and daytime highs up to 31°C at Taipei Songshan Airport station, amid a week-long warm spell featuring prior peaks of 31-33°C, including yesterday's 31°C maximum. Sustained subtropical high pressure and warm air advection from the south support midday heating potential to breach 32°C during sunny intervals, per model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, though scattered showers introduce uncertainty. Historical April averages hover near 27°C, but urban heat island effects at Songshan elevate urban peaks; monitor CWA hourly updates for intraday shifts as observations accumulate through afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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