Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts partly cloudy skies with occasional showers in Taipei on April 16, projecting daytime highs of 24-30°C following today's observed peak of 31°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds around 30-32°C as traders weigh short-range model ensembles. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and suppressing peaks to 30°C, versus high-pressure subsidence and urban heat island effects pushing toward 32°C if showers remain minimal, with apparent temperatures reaching 32°C amplifying perceived warmth. Ensemble forecasts like GFS show 1-2°C spreads typical for day-ahead predictions; monitor CWA hourly updates for refinements ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
32°C 24%
31°C 22%
30°C 16%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
16%
31°C
22%
32°C
24%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 24%
31°C 22%
30°C 16%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
26°C or below
$1,069 交易量
1%
27°C
$781 交易量
2%
28°C
$600 交易量
7%
29°C
$282 交易量
12%
30°C
$402 交易量
16%
31°C
$284 交易量
22%
32°C
$489 交易量
24%
33°C
$251 交易量
10%
34°C
$207 交易量
3%
35°C
$347 交易量
2%
36°C or higher
$623 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts partly cloudy skies with occasional showers in Taipei on April 16, projecting daytime highs of 24-30°C following today's observed peak of 31°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds around 30-32°C as traders weigh short-range model ensembles. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and suppressing peaks to 30°C, versus high-pressure subsidence and urban heat island effects pushing toward 32°C if showers remain minimal, with apparent temperatures reaching 32°C amplifying perceived warmth. Ensemble forecasts like GFS show 1-2°C spreads typical for day-ahead predictions; monitor CWA hourly updates for refinements ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$5,317结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts partly cloudy skies with occasional showers in Taipei on April 16, projecting daytime highs of 24-30°C following today's observed peak of 31°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds around 30-32°C as traders weigh short-range model ensembles. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and suppressing peaks to 30°C, versus high-pressure subsidence and urban heat island effects pushing toward 32°C if showers remain minimal, with apparent temperatures reaching 32°C amplifying perceived warmth. Ensemble forecasts like GFS show 1-2°C spreads typical for day-ahead predictions; monitor CWA hourly updates for refinements ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,317结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETCentral Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts partly cloudy skies with occasional showers in Taipei on April 16, projecting daytime highs of 24-30°C following today's observed peak of 31°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds around 30-32°C as traders weigh short-range model ensembles. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and suppressing peaks to 30°C, versus high-pressure subsidence and urban heat island effects pushing toward 32°C if showers remain minimal, with apparent temperatures reaching 32°C amplifying perceived warmth. Ensemble forecasts like GFS show 1-2°C spreads typical for day-ahead predictions; monitor CWA hourly updates for refinements ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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