Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42.5% implied probability for a 12°C high in Istanbul on April 16, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which forecast northerly winds ushering cool continental air masses over the region, combined with persistent overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Recent observations from April 14-15 show daytime highs barely reaching 12-13°C under similar cloudy conditions influenced by an upper-level trough, well below the April climatological average of 16°C. North-northeasterly flow at 10-15 mph will maintain cool advection, with low precipitation risk but high cloud cover capping warming. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z model runs overnight could shift odds slightly before resolution via official airport or city station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?
12°C 42%
11°C 19%
13°C 17%
14°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
10°C or below
5%
11°C
19%
12°C
42%
13°C
24%
14°C
13%
15°C
10%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
12°C 42%
11°C 19%
13°C 17%
14°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
10°C or below
$42 交易量
5%
11°C
$26 交易量
19%
12°C
$56 交易量
42%
13°C
$26 交易量
24%
14°C
$42 交易量
13%
15°C
$292 交易量
10%
16°C
$259 交易量
4%
17°C
$142 交易量
3%
18°C
$224 交易量
1%
19°C
$211 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$340 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42.5% implied probability for a 12°C high in Istanbul on April 16, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which forecast northerly winds ushering cool continental air masses over the region, combined with persistent overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Recent observations from April 14-15 show daytime highs barely reaching 12-13°C under similar cloudy conditions influenced by an upper-level trough, well below the April climatological average of 16°C. North-northeasterly flow at 10-15 mph will maintain cool advection, with low precipitation risk but high cloud cover capping warming. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z model runs overnight could shift odds slightly before resolution via official airport or city station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$1,565结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42.5% implied probability for a 12°C high in Istanbul on April 16, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which forecast northerly winds ushering cool continental air masses over the region, combined with persistent overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Recent observations from April 14-15 show daytime highs barely reaching 12-13°C under similar cloudy conditions influenced by an upper-level trough, well below the April climatological average of 16°C. North-northeasterly flow at 10-15 mph will maintain cool advection, with low precipitation risk but high cloud cover capping warming. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z model runs overnight could shift odds slightly before resolution via official airport or city station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,565结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42.5% implied probability for a 12°C high in Istanbul on April 16, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which forecast northerly winds ushering cool continental air masses over the region, combined with persistent overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Recent observations from April 14-15 show daytime highs barely reaching 12-13°C under similar cloudy conditions influenced by an upper-level trough, well below the April climatological average of 16°C. North-northeasterly flow at 10-15 mph will maintain cool advection, with low precipitation risk but high cloud cover capping warming. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z model runs overnight could shift odds slightly before resolution via official airport or city station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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