Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued early on April 15, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for April 16 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft, fostering sunny periods and hot daytime conditions with south winds at force 3. This drives trader consensus toward 28°C (36%) and 29°C (32%), reflecting model-implied peaks near the urban Observatory site amid ample solar heating and low probability of significant rain. Differentiation hinges on cloud variability and urban heat effects, potentially capping at 28°C if partial cloudiness persists or nudging to 29°C with prolonged sunshine; 30°C or higher (17.5%) remains plausible but lower odds due to historical April baselines around 26°C and minor evening showers. Updated guidance expected midday April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
29°C 37%
28°C 35%
30°C or higher 24%
27°C 12%
最新
$10,379 交易量
最新
$10,379 交易量
2026-04-16
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
35%
29°C
37%
30°C or higher
24%
29°C 37%
28°C 35%
30°C or higher 24%
27°C 12%
最新
$10,379 交易量
最新
$10,379 交易量
2026-04-16
20°C or below
$1,824 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,566 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,814 交易量
1%
23°C
$1,766 交易量
1%
24°C
$431 交易量
1%
25°C
$849 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,102 交易量
6%
27°C
$412 交易量
12%
28°C
$242 交易量
35%
29°C
$220 交易量
37%
30°C or higher
$301 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued early on April 15, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for April 16 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft, fostering sunny periods and hot daytime conditions with south winds at force 3. This drives trader consensus toward 28°C (36%) and 29°C (32%), reflecting model-implied peaks near the urban Observatory site amid ample solar heating and low probability of significant rain. Differentiation hinges on cloud variability and urban heat effects, potentially capping at 28°C if partial cloudiness persists or nudging to 29°C with prolonged sunshine; 30°C or higher (17.5%) remains plausible but lower odds due to historical April baselines around 26°C and minor evening showers. Updated guidance expected midday April 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$10,379结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued early on April 15, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for April 16 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft, fostering sunny periods and hot daytime conditions with south winds at force 3. This drives trader consensus toward 28°C (36%) and 29°C (32%), reflecting model-implied peaks near the urban Observatory site amid ample solar heating and low probability of significant rain. Differentiation hinges on cloud variability and urban heat effects, potentially capping at 28°C if partial cloudiness persists or nudging to 29°C with prolonged sunshine; 30°C or higher (17.5%) remains plausible but lower odds due to historical April baselines around 26°C and minor evening showers. Updated guidance expected midday April 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,379结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued early on April 15, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for April 16 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft, fostering sunny periods and hot daytime conditions with south winds at force 3. This drives trader consensus toward 28°C (36%) and 29°C (32%), reflecting model-implied peaks near the urban Observatory site amid ample solar heating and low probability of significant rain. Differentiation hinges on cloud variability and urban heat effects, potentially capping at 28°C if partial cloudiness persists or nudging to 29°C with prolonged sunshine; 30°C or higher (17.5%) remains plausible but lower odds due to historical April baselines around 26°C and minor evening showers. Updated guidance expected midday April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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