Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日成都气温最高？
4月15日成都气温最高？
24°C 42%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
22°C 8%
最新
$41,278 交易量
最新
$41,278 交易量
2026-04-15
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
42%
25°C
28%
26°C
4%
27°C或更高
1%
24°C 42%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
22°C 8%
最新
$41,278 交易量
最新
$41,278 交易量
2026-04-15
17°C或以下
$8,448 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,313 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,163 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,533 交易量
1%
21°C
$3,577 交易量
1%
22°C
$3,178 交易量
8%
23°C
$2,515 交易量
24%
24°C
$1,416 交易量
42%
25°C
$2,349 交易量
28%
26°C
$6,238 交易量
4%
27°C或更高
$5,177 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$41,278结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$41,278结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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