Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (38.5% implied probability) in London on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak around 17°C before heavy rain and gusty winds arrive in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions and a frontal system from the Atlantic will cap warming despite mild air masses, with hourly models showing temperatures rising from 12°C early to 17°C near 3 p.m. amid 60-90% rain chances. This reflects a recent shift from early April's record 26°C heat to cooler, unsettled patterns per UK-wide outlooks. ECMWF and GFS models align on limited sunshine, though drier spells could nudge toward 18°C (22%); new updates expected today may refine odds as observations from Heathrow—often key for resolution—roll in.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 16?
Highest temperature in London on April 16?
17°C 38%
16°C 27%
18°C 26%
15°C 9.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
10%
16°C
27%
17°C
38%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 38%
16°C 27%
18°C 26%
15°C 9.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
12°C or below
$1,043 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,115 交易量
1%
14°C
$438 交易量
5%
15°C
$656 交易量
10%
16°C
$462 交易量
27%
17°C
$706 交易量
38%
18°C
$617 交易量
26%
19°C
$335 交易量
2%
20°C
$281 交易量
1%
21°C
$694 交易量
<1%
22°C or higher
$612 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (38.5% implied probability) in London on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak around 17°C before heavy rain and gusty winds arrive in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions and a frontal system from the Atlantic will cap warming despite mild air masses, with hourly models showing temperatures rising from 12°C early to 17°C near 3 p.m. amid 60-90% rain chances. This reflects a recent shift from early April's record 26°C heat to cooler, unsettled patterns per UK-wide outlooks. ECMWF and GFS models align on limited sunshine, though drier spells could nudge toward 18°C (22%); new updates expected today may refine odds as observations from Heathrow—often key for resolution—roll in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$6,863结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (38.5% implied probability) in London on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak around 17°C before heavy rain and gusty winds arrive in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions and a frontal system from the Atlantic will cap warming despite mild air masses, with hourly models showing temperatures rising from 12°C early to 17°C near 3 p.m. amid 60-90% rain chances. This reflects a recent shift from early April's record 26°C heat to cooler, unsettled patterns per UK-wide outlooks. ECMWF and GFS models align on limited sunshine, though drier spells could nudge toward 18°C (22%); new updates expected today may refine odds as observations from Heathrow—often key for resolution—roll in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,863结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (38.5% implied probability) in London on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak around 17°C before heavy rain and gusty winds arrive in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions and a frontal system from the Atlantic will cap warming despite mild air masses, with hourly models showing temperatures rising from 12°C early to 17°C near 3 p.m. amid 60-90% rain chances. This reflects a recent shift from early April's record 26°C heat to cooler, unsettled patterns per UK-wide outlooks. ECMWF and GFS models align on limited sunshine, though drier spells could nudge toward 18°C (22%); new updates expected today may refine odds as observations from Heathrow—often key for resolution—roll in.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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