Trader consensus clusters around 74-77°F at nearly equal implied probabilities, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a high near 77°F on April 16 under mostly sunny skies and breezy southwesterly winds gusting to 24 mph. This follows today's (April 15) showers and thunderstorms from a passing low-pressure system, which introduce post-frontal cooling but allow rapid recovery via enhanced boundary-layer mixing above the April climatological normal of 61°F. Differentiating the tight 74-75°F versus 76-77°F bins are subtle ensemble spreads—GFS operational runs trending slightly warmer amid stronger downslope flow potential, while ECMWF emphasizes lingering morning clouds that could shave 1-2°F; inherent 24-hour forecast uncertainty (typical RMSE ~3°F) amplifies this. Watch 12Z model updates and afternoon soundings for shifts before evening peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on April 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 16?
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
67°F or below
$1,842 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$145 交易量
3%
70-71°F
$129 交易量
6%
72-73°F
$127 交易量
14%
74-75°F
$185 交易量
29%
76-77°F
$107 交易量
28%
78-79°F
$92 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$122 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$120 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$63 交易量
2%
86°F or higher
$132 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 74-77°F at nearly equal implied probabilities, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a high near 77°F on April 16 under mostly sunny skies and breezy southwesterly winds gusting to 24 mph. This follows today's (April 15) showers and thunderstorms from a passing low-pressure system, which introduce post-frontal cooling but allow rapid recovery via enhanced boundary-layer mixing above the April climatological normal of 61°F. Differentiating the tight 74-75°F versus 76-77°F bins are subtle ensemble spreads—GFS operational runs trending slightly warmer amid stronger downslope flow potential, while ECMWF emphasizes lingering morning clouds that could shave 1-2°F; inherent 24-hour forecast uncertainty (typical RMSE ~3°F) amplifies this. Watch 12Z model updates and afternoon soundings for shifts before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
交易量
$2,999结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 74-77°F at nearly equal implied probabilities, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a high near 77°F on April 16 under mostly sunny skies and breezy southwesterly winds gusting to 24 mph. This follows today's (April 15) showers and thunderstorms from a passing low-pressure system, which introduce post-frontal cooling but allow rapid recovery via enhanced boundary-layer mixing above the April climatological normal of 61°F. Differentiating the tight 74-75°F versus 76-77°F bins are subtle ensemble spreads—GFS operational runs trending slightly warmer amid stronger downslope flow potential, while ECMWF emphasizes lingering morning clouds that could shave 1-2°F; inherent 24-hour forecast uncertainty (typical RMSE ~3°F) amplifies this. Watch 12Z model updates and afternoon soundings for shifts before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,999结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETTrader consensus clusters around 74-77°F at nearly equal implied probabilities, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a high near 77°F on April 16 under mostly sunny skies and breezy southwesterly winds gusting to 24 mph. This follows today's (April 15) showers and thunderstorms from a passing low-pressure system, which introduce post-frontal cooling but allow rapid recovery via enhanced boundary-layer mixing above the April climatological normal of 61°F. Differentiating the tight 74-75°F versus 76-77°F bins are subtle ensemble spreads—GFS operational runs trending slightly warmer amid stronger downslope flow potential, while ECMWF emphasizes lingering morning clouds that could shave 1-2°F; inherent 24-hour forecast uncertainty (typical RMSE ~3°F) amplifies this. Watch 12Z model updates and afternoon soundings for shifts before evening peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题