The latest Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast, updated April 15, projects Helsinki's highest temperature on April 16 at 9°C under mostly clear skies with light winds (2-5 m/s) and low precipitation risk (<10%), aligning with Norwegian Meteorological Institute and timeanddate.com consensus around 8-9°C amid a cooling air mass following today's observed 13°C high. Yet trader sentiment favors 13°C or higher at 30% implied probability, with 11-12°C close behind (17-22%), reflecting recent underforecast warmth—April 15 exceeded projections—and ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS models where drier, sunnier conditions could boost daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, southerly wind persistence, and boundary-layer mixing; a new FMI update this evening may sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 16?
13°C or higher 34%
12°C 23%
11°C 17%
9°C 16%
3°C or below
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
16%
10°C
15%
11°C
17%
12°C
25%
13°C or higher
34%
13°C or higher 34%
12°C 23%
11°C 17%
9°C 16%
3°C or below
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
16%
10°C
15%
11°C
17%
12°C
25%
13°C or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The latest Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast, updated April 15, projects Helsinki's highest temperature on April 16 at 9°C under mostly clear skies with light winds (2-5 m/s) and low precipitation risk (<10%), aligning with Norwegian Meteorological Institute and timeanddate.com consensus around 8-9°C amid a cooling air mass following today's observed 13°C high. Yet trader sentiment favors 13°C or higher at 30% implied probability, with 11-12°C close behind (17-22%), reflecting recent underforecast warmth—April 15 exceeded projections—and ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS models where drier, sunnier conditions could boost daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, southerly wind persistence, and boundary-layer mixing; a new FMI update this evening may sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题