Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 16, with the National Weather Service projecting a high near 71°F under mostly sunny skies amid light onshore winds, aligning with clustered odds around 68-73°F. Differentiating factors include variability in marine layer persistence—stronger stratus could cap highs at 68-69°F by limiting boundary layer mixing, while weaker clouds and subsidence from a building upper-level ridge favor 72-74°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models show this divergence, influenced by recent cool, rainy patterns giving way to gradual warming; historical April highs at LAX average 72°F. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance on wind and cloud trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 21.5%
66-67°F 15%
74°F or higher 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
17%
74°F or higher
14%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 21.5%
66-67°F 15%
74°F or higher 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
55°F or below
$472 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$243 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$331 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$268 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$251 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$61 交易量
4%
66-67°F
$23 交易量
15%
68-69°F
$12 交易量
23%
70-71°F
$114 交易量
22%
72-73°F
$19 交易量
17%
74°F or higher
$53 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 16, with the National Weather Service projecting a high near 71°F under mostly sunny skies amid light onshore winds, aligning with clustered odds around 68-73°F. Differentiating factors include variability in marine layer persistence—stronger stratus could cap highs at 68-69°F by limiting boundary layer mixing, while weaker clouds and subsidence from a building upper-level ridge favor 72-74°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models show this divergence, influenced by recent cool, rainy patterns giving way to gradual warming; historical April highs at LAX average 72°F. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance on wind and cloud trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$1,839结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 16, with the National Weather Service projecting a high near 71°F under mostly sunny skies amid light onshore winds, aligning with clustered odds around 68-73°F. Differentiating factors include variability in marine layer persistence—stronger stratus could cap highs at 68-69°F by limiting boundary layer mixing, while weaker clouds and subsidence from a building upper-level ridge favor 72-74°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models show this divergence, influenced by recent cool, rainy patterns giving way to gradual warming; historical April highs at LAX average 72°F. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance on wind and cloud trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,839结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 16, with the National Weather Service projecting a high near 71°F under mostly sunny skies amid light onshore winds, aligning with clustered odds around 68-73°F. Differentiating factors include variability in marine layer persistence—stronger stratus could cap highs at 68-69°F by limiting boundary layer mixing, while weaker clouds and subsidence from a building upper-level ridge favor 72-74°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models show this divergence, influenced by recent cool, rainy patterns giving way to gradual warming; historical April highs at LAX average 72°F. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance on wind and cloud trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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