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选举·全球选举

下届法国总统选举

Market icon
选举·全球选举

下届法国总统选举

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉 29%

爱德华·菲利普 14%

让-吕克·梅朗雄 11%

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 9%

Polymarket

$11,174,305 交易量

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉 29%

爱德华·菲利普 14%

让-吕克·梅朗雄 11%

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 9%

Polymarket

$11,174,305 交易量

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分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉

$388,330 交易量

29%

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爱德华·菲利普

$280,213 交易量

14%

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让-吕克·梅朗雄

$175,976 交易量

11%

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分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞

$224,245 交易量

9%

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多米尼克·德维尔潘

$590,433 交易量

7%

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Bruno Retailleau

$664,961 交易量

4%

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莎拉·克纳福

$690,086 交易量

4%

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加布里埃尔·阿塔尔

$583,962 交易量

3%

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分组条目标题：让-卡斯泰

$265,375 交易量

3%

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弗朗索瓦·奥朗德

$271,950 交易量

2%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$209,193 交易量

2%

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塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努

$449,260 交易量

2%

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大卫·利斯纳德

$501,147 交易量

2%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$174,342 交易量

2%

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热拉尔·达马南

$203,614 交易量

1%

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胡安·布兰科

$205,021 交易量

1%

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分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬

$137,188 交易量

1%

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埃里克·泽穆尔

$221,159 交易量

1%

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分组项标题：Marine Tondelier

$146,699 交易量

<1%

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洛朗·沃奎耶

$157,779 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Fabien Roussel

$384,627 交易量

<1%

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分组项标题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔

$509,674 交易量

<1%

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奥利维耶·福尔

$149,886 交易量

<1%

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分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺

$242,112 交易量

<1%

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尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂

$391,861 交易量

<1%

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瓦莱丽·佩雷斯

$209,168 交易量

<1%

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伊丽莎白·博恩

$141,115 交易量

<1%

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Carole Delga

$166,683 交易量

<1%

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泽维尔·贝特朗

$198,207 交易量

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$306,926 交易量

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$649,270 交易量

<1%

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米歇尔·巴尼耶

$292,983 交易量

<1%

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弗朗索瓦·贝鲁

$167,705 交易量

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$242,149 交易量

<1%

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分组项标题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特

$379,046 交易量

<1%

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克莱芒斯·盖特

$201,959 交易量

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$11,174,305
结束日期
Apr 30, 2027
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下届法国总统选举"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 36 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉"，概率为 28%，其次是"爱德华·菲利普"，概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下届法国总统选举"已产生 $11.2 million 的总交易量（自Nov 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下届法国总统选举"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 36 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下届法国总统选举"的当前领先者是"分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉"，概率为 28%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。紧随其后的结果是"爱德华·菲利普"，概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下届法国总统选举"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。