FlightAware preliminary data reports 5,873 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelling trader consensus to 99.7% on the >5,000 outcome as the market awaits the official 12:00 PM ET snapshot from that source for resolution. Adverse weather including low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupted operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), while FAA-mandated arrival reductions at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) due to runway construction exacerbated nationwide backups. This commanding lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of real-time tracking, with slim upset scenarios limited to unlikely data revisions or snapshot discrepancies lowering the count below 5,000.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于>5,000 99.7%
4,000-4,500 1.0%
4,500-5,000 <1%
2,500-3,000 <1%
$3,113 交易量
$3,113 交易量
<2,000
<1%
2,000-2,500
<1%
2,500-3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
1%
4,500-5,000
1%
>5,000
100%
>5,000 99.7%
4,000-4,500 1.0%
4,500-5,000 <1%
2,500-3,000 <1%
$3,113 交易量
$3,113 交易量
<2,000
<1%
2,000-2,500
<1%
2,500-3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
1%
4,500-5,000
1%
>5,000
100%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
FlightAware preliminary data reports 5,873 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelling trader consensus to 99.7% on the >5,000 outcome as the market awaits the official 12:00 PM ET snapshot from that source for resolution. Adverse weather including low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupted operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), while FAA-mandated arrival reductions at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) due to runway construction exacerbated nationwide backups. This commanding lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of real-time tracking, with slim upset scenarios limited to unlikely data revisions or snapshot discrepancies lowering the count below 5,000.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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