Polymarket traders price Silver (SI) June settlement in a tight cluster around $60-$90, with $70-$80 at 19.1% implied probability reflecting consensus for modest gains from the current ~$76 spot and June 2026 futures at $75.90-$77.50. This positioning stems from the sixth consecutive annual supply deficit forecast at 50-67 million ounces, driven by surging industrial demand from solar panels, EVs, and data centers outpacing mine output, amid low COMEX registered inventories covering just 13% of demand. Recent weekly declines over 6% from $81 highs—linked to US-Iran tensions and profit-taking—have heightened contestation, with upside hinging on persistent deficits and bank forecasts like JPMorgan's $81 2026 average or BofA's $135-$309 bull case, versus risks from stronger USD or cooling inflation ahead of June resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-80美元 19.1%
60-70美元 17.6%
80-90美元 16%
$90-$100 12%
$495,531 交易量
$495,531 交易量
低于50美元
8%
50至60美元
10%
60-70美元
18%
70-80美元
19%
80-90美元
16%
$90-$100
12%
100-115美元
12%
>115美元
9%
70-80美元 19.1%
60-70美元 17.6%
80-90美元 16%
$90-$100 12%
$495,531 交易量
$495,531 交易量
低于50美元
8%
50至60美元
10%
60-70美元
18%
70-80美元
19%
80-90美元
16%
$90-$100
12%
100-115美元
12%
>115美元
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Polymarket traders price Silver (SI) June settlement in a tight cluster around $60-$90, with $70-$80 at 19.1% implied probability reflecting consensus for modest gains from the current ~$76 spot and June 2026 futures at $75.90-$77.50. This positioning stems from the sixth consecutive annual supply deficit forecast at 50-67 million ounces, driven by surging industrial demand from solar panels, EVs, and data centers outpacing mine output, amid low COMEX registered inventories covering just 13% of demand. Recent weekly declines over 6% from $81 highs—linked to US-Iran tensions and profit-taking—have heightened contestation, with upside hinging on persistent deficits and bank forecasts like JPMorgan's $81 2026 average or BofA's $135-$309 bull case, versus risks from stronger USD or cooling inflation ahead of June resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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