Incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden secured the party's nomination in a July 2026 runoff, advancing against Democratic nominee Dan Ahlers in the November general election. South Dakota's consistent Republican voting patterns since the 1970s, combined with Rhoden's incumbency advantage and unified party support following the primary, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Historical base rates for the party in statewide races further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter the trajectory, though such developments remain uncommon in the final months before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,994 交易量
$15,994 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$15,994 交易量
$15,994 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,198 交易量
93%
民主党
$9,796 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden secured the party's nomination in a July 2026 runoff, advancing against Democratic nominee Dan Ahlers in the November general election. South Dakota's consistent Republican voting patterns since the 1970s, combined with Rhoden's incumbency advantage and unified party support following the primary, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Historical base rates for the party in statewide races further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter the trajectory, though such developments remain uncommon in the final months before the vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$15,994结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden secured the party's nomination in a July 2026 runoff, advancing against Democratic nominee Dan Ahlers in the November general election. South Dakota's consistent Republican voting patterns since the 1970s, combined with Rhoden's incumbency advantage and unified party support following the primary, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Historical base rates for the party in statewide races further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter the trajectory, though such developments remain uncommon in the final months before the vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$15,994结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden secured the party's nomination in a July 2026 runoff, advancing against Democratic nominee Dan Ahlers in the November general election. South Dakota's consistent Republican voting patterns since the 1970s, combined with Rhoden's incumbency advantage and unified party support following the primary, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Historical base rates for the party in statewide races further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter the trajectory, though such developments remain uncommon in the final months before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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