South Dakota's solidly Republican electorate and Mike Rounds' strong incumbency position as a two-term senator have anchored trader consensus around his reelection chances. Rounds secured the GOP nomination in June with a decisive primary victory, while the Democratic nominee's August withdrawal left independent Brian Bengs as the main challenger in a state where Republicans have won recent Senate contests by wide margins. Fundraising disparities, consistent polling leads for Rounds, and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Republican further reinforce the market's implied probability. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still influence the November outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于迈克·朗兹（共和党） 94.0%
布莱恩·本格斯（无党派） 3.8%
民主党 <1%
$31,133 交易量
$31,133 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克·朗兹（共和党）
94%
布莱恩·本格斯（无党派）
4%
民主党
<1%
迈克·朗兹（共和党） 94.0%
布莱恩·本格斯（无党派） 3.8%
民主党 <1%
$31,133 交易量
$31,133 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克·朗兹（共和党）
$17,772 交易量
94%
布莱恩·本格斯（无党派）
$907 交易量
4%
民主党
$12,454 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Dakota's solidly Republican electorate and Mike Rounds' strong incumbency position as a two-term senator have anchored trader consensus around his reelection chances. Rounds secured the GOP nomination in June with a decisive primary victory, while the Democratic nominee's August withdrawal left independent Brian Bengs as the main challenger in a state where Republicans have won recent Senate contests by wide margins. Fundraising disparities, consistent polling leads for Rounds, and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Republican further reinforce the market's implied probability. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$31,133结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Dakota's solidly Republican electorate and Mike Rounds' strong incumbency position as a two-term senator have anchored trader consensus around his reelection chances. Rounds secured the GOP nomination in June with a decisive primary victory, while the Democratic nominee's August withdrawal left independent Brian Bengs as the main challenger in a state where Republicans have won recent Senate contests by wide margins. Fundraising disparities, consistent polling leads for Rounds, and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Republican further reinforce the market's implied probability. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$31,133结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETSouth Dakota's solidly Republican electorate and Mike Rounds' strong incumbency position as a two-term senator have anchored trader consensus around his reelection chances. Rounds secured the GOP nomination in June with a decisive primary victory, while the Democratic nominee's August withdrawal left independent Brian Bengs as the main challenger in a state where Republicans have won recent Senate contests by wide margins. Fundraising disparities, consistent polling leads for Rounds, and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Republican further reinforce the market's implied probability. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still influence the November outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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