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德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜利幅度

Market icon

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜利幅度

科宁 <3% 99.0%

帕克斯顿 3–6% 1.4%

科宁 3–6% 1.3%

帕克斯顿 <3% 1.0%

Polymarket

$7,921 交易量

科宁 <3% 99.0%

帕克斯顿 3–6% 1.4%

科宁 3–6% 1.3%

帕克斯顿 <3% 1.0%

Polymarket

$7,921 交易量

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帕克斯顿9%+

$0 交易量

<1%

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帕克斯顿 6–9%

$0 交易量

<1%

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帕克斯顿 3–6%

$0 交易量

1%

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帕克斯顿 <3%

$0 交易量

1%

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科宁6%+

$0 交易量

1%

Market icon

科宁 3–6%

$1,448 交易量

1%

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科宁 <3%

$6,473 交易量

99%

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亨特3%+

$0 交易量

<1%

Market icon

亨特 <3%

$0 交易量

<1%

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$7,921
结束日期
Mar 3, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜利幅度"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"科宁 <3%",概率为 99%,其次是"帕克斯顿 3–6%",概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜利幅度"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Feb 4, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜利幅度"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜利幅度"的当前领先者是"科宁 <3%",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"帕克斯顿 3–6%",概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜利幅度"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。