The Mandalorian and Grogu's projected second-weekend domestic gross sits under $25 million after a roughly 70% drop from its $82 million three-day opening, the weakest Disney-era Star Wars debut since Solo. This steep decline aligns with mixed industry tracking, audience demographics shifting toward younger viewers for competing titles like the A24 horror hit Backrooms, and franchise fatigue following a modest Memorial Day launch that totaled around $100 million over four days. With a reported $165 million production budget, the film's theatrical trajectory faces pressure from limited international appeal and no major upcoming catalysts before Toy Story 5. An upset pushing above $25 million would require significant positive word-of-mouth adjustments or revised estimates that exceed current studio tracking.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于「曼达洛和格罗古」第二周末票房
「曼达洛和格罗古」第二周末票房
低于2500万 100.0%
25-28m <1%
2800万-3100万 <1%
>3100万 <1%
$132,993 交易量
$132,993 交易量
2026-06-01
低于2500万
是
25-28m
No
2800万-3100万
否
>3100万
否
低于2500万 100.0%
25-28m <1%
2800万-3100万 <1%
>3100万 <1%
$132,993 交易量
$132,993 交易量
2026-06-01
低于2500万
$53,235 交易量
是
25-28m
$59,466 交易量
No
2800万-3100万
$9,835 交易量
否
>3100万
$10,458 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Mandalorian and Grogu's projected second-weekend domestic gross sits under $25 million after a roughly 70% drop from its $82 million three-day opening, the weakest Disney-era Star Wars debut since Solo. This steep decline aligns with mixed industry tracking, audience demographics shifting toward younger viewers for competing titles like the A24 horror hit Backrooms, and franchise fatigue following a modest Memorial Day launch that totaled around $100 million over four days. With a reported $165 million production budget, the film's theatrical trajectory faces pressure from limited international appeal and no major upcoming catalysts before Toy Story 5. An upset pushing above $25 million would require significant positive word-of-mouth adjustments or revised estimates that exceed current studio tracking.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
交易量
$132,993结束日期
2026-06-01市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Mandalorian and Grogu's projected second-weekend domestic gross sits under $25 million after a roughly 70% drop from its $82 million three-day opening, the weakest Disney-era Star Wars debut since Solo. This steep decline aligns with mixed industry tracking, audience demographics shifting toward younger viewers for competing titles like the A24 horror hit Backrooms, and franchise fatigue following a modest Memorial Day launch that totaled around $100 million over four days. With a reported $165 million production budget, the film's theatrical trajectory faces pressure from limited international appeal and no major upcoming catalysts before Toy Story 5. An upset pushing above $25 million would require significant positive word-of-mouth adjustments or revised estimates that exceed current studio tracking.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$132,993结束日期
2026-06-01市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The Mandalorian and Grogu's projected second-weekend domestic gross sits under $25 million after a roughly 70% drop from its $82 million three-day opening, the weakest Disney-era Star Wars debut since Solo. This steep decline aligns with mixed industry tracking, audience demographics shifting toward younger viewers for competing titles like the A24 horror hit Backrooms, and franchise fatigue following a modest Memorial Day launch that totaled around $100 million over four days. With a reported $165 million production budget, the film's theatrical trajectory faces pressure from limited international appeal and no major upcoming catalysts before Toy Story 5. An upset pushing above $25 million would require significant positive word-of-mouth adjustments or revised estimates that exceed current studio tracking.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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