**The Uprising** faces subdued opening-weekend expectations, with traders heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut at 57.5% implied probability. As a mid-budget R-rated historical action drama from Focus Features and Blumhouse, the Paul Greengrass-directed film lacks major franchise backing or broad commercial hooks despite Andrew Garfield’s star power and its loose ties to the Robin Hood legend. Limited presales data, minimal early critical or audience tracking, and competition from other September releases reinforce the cautious consensus. The brief U.S. marketing rebrand emphasizing Robin Hood elements has not generated significant momentum. With the wide release set for September 10–11, the market reflects the challenges typical period pieces encounter in securing strong theatrical launches absent exceptional word-of-mouth or event positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《起义》开场周末票房
少于450万美元 57%
450万-550万 23%
550万-650万 14%
750万美元+ 14%
少于450万美元
57%
450万-550万
23%
550万-650万
14%
650-750万
8%
750万美元+
14%
少于450万美元 57%
450万-550万 23%
550万-650万 14%
750万美元+ 14%
少于450万美元
57%
450万-550万
23%
550万-650万
14%
650-750万
8%
750万美元+
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
**The Uprising** faces subdued opening-weekend expectations, with traders heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut at 57.5% implied probability. As a mid-budget R-rated historical action drama from Focus Features and Blumhouse, the Paul Greengrass-directed film lacks major franchise backing or broad commercial hooks despite Andrew Garfield’s star power and its loose ties to the Robin Hood legend. Limited presales data, minimal early critical or audience tracking, and competition from other September releases reinforce the cautious consensus. The brief U.S. marketing rebrand emphasizing Robin Hood elements has not generated significant momentum. With the wide release set for September 10–11, the market reflects the challenges typical period pieces encounter in securing strong theatrical launches absent exceptional word-of-mouth or event positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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