Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) shares evenly across $350–$395 bins at around 49%, reflecting high implied volatility near 48% and uncertainty ahead of Q1 quarter-end on March 31, 2026. Shares pulled back from early-March highs above $400 to Friday's close of $361.83 amid fears of a third straight year of delivery declines in 2026, pressuring near-term revenue growth expectations despite cost-cutting efforts stabilizing margins. Counterbalancing bullish sentiment stems from Tesla's March 22 TERAFAB announcement—a massive 1TW/year chip fab with SpaceX and xAI to power Optimus robots and space ambitions—driving speculative trading volume. Key swing factors include end-quarter window dressing and any Elon Musk updates, with Q1 earnings due late April as the next major catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于>395美元 98%
低于 350 美元 50%
350-355美元 50%
$360-$365 50%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
低于 350 美元
50%
350-355美元
50%
$355-$360
48%
$360-$365
50%
$365-$370
49%
$370-$375
47%
375-380美元
50%
$380-$385
50%
$385-$390
49%
$390-$395
50%
>395美元
98%
>395美元 98%
低于 350 美元 50%
350-355美元 50%
$360-$365 50%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
低于 350 美元
$0 交易量
50%
350-355美元
$0 交易量
50%
$355-$360
$0 交易量
48%
$360-$365
$0 交易量
50%
$365-$370
$0 交易量
49%
$370-$375
$0 交易量
47%
375-380美元
$0 交易量
50%
$380-$385
$0 交易量
50%
$385-$390
$0 交易量
49%
$390-$395
$0 交易量
50%
>395美元
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) shares evenly across $350–$395 bins at around 49%, reflecting high implied volatility near 48% and uncertainty ahead of Q1 quarter-end on March 31, 2026. Shares pulled back from early-March highs above $400 to Friday's close of $361.83 amid fears of a third straight year of delivery declines in 2026, pressuring near-term revenue growth expectations despite cost-cutting efforts stabilizing margins. Counterbalancing bullish sentiment stems from Tesla's March 22 TERAFAB announcement—a massive 1TW/year chip fab with SpaceX and xAI to power Optimus robots and space ambitions—driving speculative trading volume. Key swing factors include end-quarter window dressing and any Elon Musk updates, with Q1 earnings due late April as the next major catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) shares evenly across $350–$395 bins at around 49%, reflecting high implied volatility near 48% and uncertainty ahead of Q1 quarter-end on March 31, 2026. Shares pulled back from early-March highs above $400 to Friday's close of $361.83 amid fears of a third straight year of delivery declines in 2026, pressuring near-term revenue growth expectations despite cost-cutting efforts stabilizing margins. Counterbalancing bullish sentiment stems from Tesla's March 22 TERAFAB announcement—a massive 1TW/year chip fab with SpaceX and xAI to power Optimus robots and space ambitions—driving speculative trading volume. Key swing factors include end-quarter window dressing and any Elon Musk updates, with Q1 earnings due late April as the next major catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$0结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) shares evenly across $350–$395 bins at around 49%, reflecting high implied volatility near 48% and uncertainty ahead of Q1 quarter-end on March 31, 2026. Shares pulled back from early-March highs above $400 to Friday's close of $361.83 amid fears of a third straight year of delivery declines in 2026, pressuring near-term revenue growth expectations despite cost-cutting efforts stabilizing margins. Counterbalancing bullish sentiment stems from Tesla's March 22 TERAFAB announcement—a massive 1TW/year chip fab with SpaceX and xAI to power Optimus robots and space ambitions—driving speculative trading volume. Key swing factors include end-quarter window dressing and any Elon Musk updates, with Q1 earnings due late April as the next major catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题