Trader consensus on Polymarket prices WTI crude oil hitting the $60-70 per barrel range in April 2026 at around 45% implied probability, reflecting bearish sentiment amid projections of global supply outpacing demand growth. Current spot WTI trades near $71/bbl, but EIA's latest STEO forecasts an average $66.50 for 2026, pressured by record U.S. shale output exceeding 13.4 million bpd and non-OPEC supply gains of 1.5 million bpd annually. OPEC+ cuts provide short-term support, yet trader positioning anticipates voluntary reductions unwinding by mid-2026. Key catalysts include the December 5 OPEC+ meeting and weekly EIA inventories, with persistent China demand weakness capping upside amid Fed rate cut expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于↑ 150美元
51%
↑ $140
52%
↑ $130
52%
↑ $120
52%
↑ 110美元
52%
↑ $100
51%
↑ $90
52%
↓ $80
94%
↓ $70
94%
↓ $60
97%
↓ 50美元
97%
↓ 40美元
97%
↓ $30
97%
↓ $20
97%
$0.00 交易量
↑ 150美元
51%
↑ $140
52%
↑ $130
52%
↑ $120
52%
↑ 110美元
52%
↑ $100
51%
↑ $90
52%
↓ $80
94%
↓ $70
94%
↓ $60
97%
↓ 50美元
97%
↓ 40美元
97%
↓ $30
97%
↓ $20
97%
For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices WTI crude oil hitting the $60-70 per barrel range in April 2026 at around 45% implied probability, reflecting bearish sentiment amid projections of global supply outpacing demand growth. Current spot WTI trades near $71/bbl, but EIA's latest STEO forecasts an average $66.50 for 2026, pressured by record U.S. shale output exceeding 13.4 million bpd and non-OPEC supply gains of 1.5 million bpd annually. OPEC+ cuts provide short-term support, yet trader positioning anticipates voluntary reductions unwinding by mid-2026. Key catalysts include the December 5 OPEC+ meeting and weekly EIA inventories, with persistent China demand weakness capping upside amid Fed rate cut expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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