Polymarket traders price a modest range for Comex gold (GC) June settlement around current futures levels near $4,730/oz, with $4,600-$5,000 (25.5% implied probability) edging $4,200-$4,600 (20.5%) in a closely contested dynamic reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces. Robust central bank buying—Poland leading with over 20 tonnes YTD amid emerging market diversification—sustains support, while bullish forecasts like Goldman Sachs' $5,400 year-end target fuel upside bets. Countering this, recent dollar strength and fading near-term Fed rate cut hopes following resilient US data have capped gains, pressuring spot prices from April highs above $4,746. Upcoming May CPI and June FOMC meeting loom as pivotal catalysts, with softer inflation potentially reigniting monetary easing expectations to favor higher bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4,600-5,000美元 26%
4,200-4,600美元 20.5%
5,000-5,400美元 17.4%
3,800-4,200美元 11.9%
$907,212 交易量
$907,212 交易量
低于$3,800
5%
3,800-4,200美元
12%
4,200-4,600美元
21%
4,600-5,000美元
26%
5,000-5,400美元
17%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>6,200美元
4%
4,600-5,000美元 26%
4,200-4,600美元 20.5%
5,000-5,400美元 17.4%
3,800-4,200美元 11.9%
$907,212 交易量
$907,212 交易量
低于$3,800
5%
3,800-4,200美元
12%
4,200-4,600美元
21%
4,600-5,000美元
26%
5,000-5,400美元
17%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>6,200美元
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Polymarket traders price a modest range for Comex gold (GC) June settlement around current futures levels near $4,730/oz, with $4,600-$5,000 (25.5% implied probability) edging $4,200-$4,600 (20.5%) in a closely contested dynamic reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces. Robust central bank buying—Poland leading with over 20 tonnes YTD amid emerging market diversification—sustains support, while bullish forecasts like Goldman Sachs' $5,400 year-end target fuel upside bets. Countering this, recent dollar strength and fading near-term Fed rate cut hopes following resilient US data have capped gains, pressuring spot prices from April highs above $4,746. Upcoming May CPI and June FOMC meeting loom as pivotal catalysts, with softer inflation potentially reigniting monetary easing expectations to favor higher bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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