June COMEX gold futures (GC) trade near $4,740, aligning trader sentiment with Polymarket's leading $4,600-$5,000 outcome at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by $4,200-$4,600 at 20.6%, as spot prices hover around $4,720. Recent FOMC minutes underscored inflation persistence above 2%, compounded by energy spikes and a firmer dollar that fueled rate hike fears and capped gains after a mid-April pullback from $4,800 peaks. Counterbalancing safe-haven flows stem from fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefires and Middle East tensions, while Goldman Sachs lifted its 2026 year-end target to $5,400. Pivotal catalysts include upcoming April CPI data—expected to test core inflation trajectory—and the May FOMC, which could sway Fed funds rate path expectations and resolve the tight contest between upside momentum and real yield pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4,600-5,000美元 25%
4,200-4,600美元 20.6%
5,000-5,400美元 17.5%
3,800-4,200美元 11.8%
$907,212 交易量
$907,212 交易量
低于$3,800
5%
3,800-4,200美元
12%
4,200-4,600美元
21%
4,600-5,000美元
25%
5,000-5,400美元
18%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>6,200美元
4%
4,600-5,000美元 25%
4,200-4,600美元 20.6%
5,000-5,400美元 17.5%
3,800-4,200美元 11.8%
$907,212 交易量
$907,212 交易量
低于$3,800
5%
3,800-4,200美元
12%
4,200-4,600美元
21%
4,600-5,000美元
25%
5,000-5,400美元
18%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>6,200美元
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
June COMEX gold futures (GC) trade near $4,740, aligning trader sentiment with Polymarket's leading $4,600-$5,000 outcome at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by $4,200-$4,600 at 20.6%, as spot prices hover around $4,720. Recent FOMC minutes underscored inflation persistence above 2%, compounded by energy spikes and a firmer dollar that fueled rate hike fears and capped gains after a mid-April pullback from $4,800 peaks. Counterbalancing safe-haven flows stem from fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefires and Middle East tensions, while Goldman Sachs lifted its 2026 year-end target to $5,400. Pivotal catalysts include upcoming April CPI data—expected to test core inflation trajectory—and the May FOMC, which could sway Fed funds rate path expectations and resolve the tight contest between upside momentum and real yield pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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