Recent declines in gold futures, with spot prices trading near $4,300 per ounce amid higher Treasury yields and firmer dollar strength, underpin the tight contest between the $4,200–$4,600 and $3,800–$4,200 settlement ranges. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that persistent inflation expectations have prompted pricing of potential late-2026 Fed rate hikes, offsetting earlier geopolitical support and central bank purchases that drove January peaks above $5,400. Recent weekly losses exceeding 7% highlight sensitivity to monetary policy signals ahead of upcoming FOMC communications and economic releases. Extreme outcomes above $4,600 or below $3,800 remain low-probability given current volatility and range-bound trading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4,200-4,600美元 46.5%
3,800-4,200美元 37.7%
低于$3,800 9.2%
4,600-5,000美元 8%
$1,041,373 交易量
$1,041,373 交易量
2026-06-30
低于$3,800
9%
3,800-4,200美元
38%
4,200-4,600美元
47%
4,600-5,000美元
8%
5,000-5,400美元
1%
$5,400-$5,800
1%
$5,800-$6,200
<1%
>6,200美元
1%
4,200-4,600美元 46.5%
3,800-4,200美元 37.7%
低于$3,800 9.2%
4,600-5,000美元 8%
$1,041,373 交易量
$1,041,373 交易量
2026-06-30
低于$3,800
$239,245 交易量
9%
3,800-4,200美元
$67,961 交易量
38%
4,200-4,600美元
$63,081 交易量
47%
4,600-5,000美元
$59,437 交易量
8%
5,000-5,400美元
$77,570 交易量
1%
$5,400-$5,800
$66,810 交易量
1%
$5,800-$6,200
$254,445 交易量
<1%
>6,200美元
$212,824 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent declines in gold futures, with spot prices trading near $4,300 per ounce amid higher Treasury yields and firmer dollar strength, underpin the tight contest between the $4,200–$4,600 and $3,800–$4,200 settlement ranges. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that persistent inflation expectations have prompted pricing of potential late-2026 Fed rate hikes, offsetting earlier geopolitical support and central bank purchases that drove January peaks above $5,400. Recent weekly losses exceeding 7% highlight sensitivity to monetary policy signals ahead of upcoming FOMC communications and economic releases. Extreme outcomes above $4,600 or below $3,800 remain low-probability given current volatility and range-bound trading.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$1,041,373结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent declines in gold futures, with spot prices trading near $4,300 per ounce amid higher Treasury yields and firmer dollar strength, underpin the tight contest between the $4,200–$4,600 and $3,800–$4,200 settlement ranges. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that persistent inflation expectations have prompted pricing of potential late-2026 Fed rate hikes, offsetting earlier geopolitical support and central bank purchases that drove January peaks above $5,400. Recent weekly losses exceeding 7% highlight sensitivity to monetary policy signals ahead of upcoming FOMC communications and economic releases. Extreme outcomes above $4,600 or below $3,800 remain low-probability given current volatility and range-bound trading.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$1,041,373结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETRecent declines in gold futures, with spot prices trading near $4,300 per ounce amid higher Treasury yields and firmer dollar strength, underpin the tight contest between the $4,200–$4,600 and $3,800–$4,200 settlement ranges. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that persistent inflation expectations have prompted pricing of potential late-2026 Fed rate hikes, offsetting earlier geopolitical support and central bank purchases that drove January peaks above $5,400. Recent weekly losses exceeding 7% highlight sensitivity to monetary policy signals ahead of upcoming FOMC communications and economic releases. Extreme outcomes above $4,600 or below $3,800 remain low-probability given current volatility and range-bound trading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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