Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its $147.27 all-time high by April 30, reflecting ample global supply growth outpacing demand amid recent U.S. inventory builds. WTI spot settled near $101 per barrel after trimming a geopolitical-fueled surge past $107 triggered by Iranian presidential comments, but the American Petroleum Institute reported a surprise 10 million-barrel stockpile increase last week, followed by EIA confirmation of a 6.9 million-barrel rise to 456.2 million barrels. Oversupply risks persist with non-OPEC production near records and OPEC+ gradually unwinding cuts, while 2026 forecasts from EIA and IEA project Brent averages below $70 despite upside from Middle East tensions. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA data and potential OPEC+ policy signals, though a 46% rally remains improbable absent major supply disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-04-30
最新
最新
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its $147.27 all-time high by April 30, reflecting ample global supply growth outpacing demand amid recent U.S. inventory builds. WTI spot settled near $101 per barrel after trimming a geopolitical-fueled surge past $107 triggered by Iranian presidential comments, but the American Petroleum Institute reported a surprise 10 million-barrel stockpile increase last week, followed by EIA confirmation of a 6.9 million-barrel rise to 456.2 million barrels. Oversupply risks persist with non-OPEC production near records and OPEC+ gradually unwinding cuts, while 2026 forecasts from EIA and IEA project Brent averages below $70 despite upside from Middle East tensions. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA data and potential OPEC+ policy signals, though a 46% rally remains improbable absent major supply disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$284结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its $147.27 all-time high by April 30, reflecting ample global supply growth outpacing demand amid recent U.S. inventory builds. WTI spot settled near $101 per barrel after trimming a geopolitical-fueled surge past $107 triggered by Iranian presidential comments, but the American Petroleum Institute reported a surprise 10 million-barrel stockpile increase last week, followed by EIA confirmation of a 6.9 million-barrel rise to 456.2 million barrels. Oversupply risks persist with non-OPEC production near records and OPEC+ gradually unwinding cuts, while 2026 forecasts from EIA and IEA project Brent averages below $70 despite upside from Middle East tensions. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA data and potential OPEC+ policy signals, though a 46% rally remains improbable absent major supply disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$284结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its $147.27 all-time high by April 30, reflecting ample global supply growth outpacing demand amid recent U.S. inventory builds. WTI spot settled near $101 per barrel after trimming a geopolitical-fueled surge past $107 triggered by Iranian presidential comments, but the American Petroleum Institute reported a surprise 10 million-barrel stockpile increase last week, followed by EIA confirmation of a 6.9 million-barrel rise to 456.2 million barrels. Oversupply risks persist with non-OPEC production near records and OPEC+ gradually unwinding cuts, while 2026 forecasts from EIA and IEA project Brent averages below $70 despite upside from Middle East tensions. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA data and potential OPEC+ policy signals, though a 46% rally remains improbable absent major supply disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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