Polymarket traders are leaning toward natural gas prices around $3/MMBtu in April 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting expectations of LNG export expansion balancing current oversupply pressures. Henry Hub spot prices linger near $2.25/MMBtu amid record-high EIA storage levels 12% above the five-year average, robust shale production exceeding 103 Bcf/d, and mild fall weather curbing demand. The forward curve shows April 2026 futures at $3.45, up from near-term contracts in backwardation, signaling trader consensus on normalized shoulder-season dynamics by then. Key risks include winter heating draws, potential Freeport LNG restarts, and geopolitical export boosts; monitor weekly EIA reports and NOAA outlooks for sentiment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于↑ $4.20
100%
↑ 4.00美元
100%
↑ $3.80
100%
↑ $3.60
100%
↑ $3.40
100%
↑ $3.20
100%
↑ $3.00
100%
↓ 2.80美元
100%
↓ $2.60
100%
↓ $2.40
100%
↓ $2.20
100%
↓ $2.00
100%
↓ $1.80
51%
↓ $1.60
100%
$0.00 交易量
↑ $4.20
100%
↑ 4.00美元
100%
↑ $3.80
100%
↑ $3.60
100%
↑ $3.40
100%
↑ $3.20
100%
↑ $3.00
100%
↓ 2.80美元
100%
↓ $2.60
100%
↓ $2.40
100%
↓ $2.20
100%
↓ $2.00
100%
↓ $1.80
51%
↓ $1.60
100%
For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as four business days prior to the first calendar day of the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are leaning toward natural gas prices around $3/MMBtu in April 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting expectations of LNG export expansion balancing current oversupply pressures. Henry Hub spot prices linger near $2.25/MMBtu amid record-high EIA storage levels 12% above the five-year average, robust shale production exceeding 103 Bcf/d, and mild fall weather curbing demand. The forward curve shows April 2026 futures at $3.45, up from near-term contracts in backwardation, signaling trader consensus on normalized shoulder-season dynamics by then. Key risks include winter heating draws, potential Freeport LNG restarts, and geopolitical export boosts; monitor weekly EIA reports and NOAA outlooks for sentiment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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