Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$399,418 交易量
$399,418 交易量
2026-07-31
$399,418 交易量
$399,418 交易量
2026-07-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$399,418结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$399,418结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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