Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism for an imminent Veo 4 launch, pricing the leading outcome—"by April 30"—at just 1% implied probability amid persistent rumors but no official Google DeepMind confirmation. Veo 3.1 remains the state-of-the-art text-to-video model, bolstered by the late-March release of the faster, cheaper Veo 3.1 Lite, signaling Google's focus on iterative enhancements like native audio and 4K realism rather than a full version upgrade. Competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI's Sora (recently shuttered) and emerging challengers have fueled speculation, yet historical patterns point to major reveals at Google I/O, expected mid-May 2026, as the pivotal catalyst that could shift odds dramatically.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,490 交易量
2026-04-30
4月30日
1%
$43,490 交易量
4月30日
$1,200 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism for an imminent Veo 4 launch, pricing the leading outcome—"by April 30"—at just 1% implied probability amid persistent rumors but no official Google DeepMind confirmation. Veo 3.1 remains the state-of-the-art text-to-video model, bolstered by the late-March release of the faster, cheaper Veo 3.1 Lite, signaling Google's focus on iterative enhancements like native audio and 4K realism rather than a full version upgrade. Competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI's Sora (recently shuttered) and emerging challengers have fueled speculation, yet historical patterns point to major reveals at Google I/O, expected mid-May 2026, as the pivotal catalyst that could shift odds dramatically.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$43,490结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism for an imminent Veo 4 launch, pricing the leading outcome—"by April 30"—at just 1% implied probability amid persistent rumors but no official Google DeepMind confirmation. Veo 3.1 remains the state-of-the-art text-to-video model, bolstered by the late-March release of the faster, cheaper Veo 3.1 Lite, signaling Google's focus on iterative enhancements like native audio and 4K realism rather than a full version upgrade. Competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI's Sora (recently shuttered) and emerging challengers have fueled speculation, yet historical patterns point to major reveals at Google I/O, expected mid-May 2026, as the pivotal catalyst that could shift odds dramatically.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$43,490结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism for an imminent Veo 4 launch, pricing the leading outcome—"by April 30"—at just 1% implied probability amid persistent rumors but no official Google DeepMind confirmation. Veo 3.1 remains the state-of-the-art text-to-video model, bolstered by the late-March release of the faster, cheaper Veo 3.1 Lite, signaling Google's focus on iterative enhancements like native audio and 4K realism rather than a full version upgrade. Competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI's Sora (recently shuttered) and emerging challengers have fueled speculation, yet historical patterns point to major reveals at Google I/O, expected mid-May 2026, as the pivotal catalyst that could shift odds dramatically.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题