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政治·提及

Who will Trump name in April?

icon for Who will Trump name in April?
政治·提及

Who will Trump name in April?

$131,380 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$131,380 交易量

Polymarket

Hillary

$4,541 交易量

Yes

Kamala

$4,386 交易量

Yes

Paxton

$3,851 交易量

No

Warsh

$1,621 交易量

Yes

Newsom / Newscum

$1,266 交易量

Yes

Rand Paul

$1,442 交易量

No

Ilhan / Omar

$1,142 交易量

Yes

Zohran / Mamdani

$2,111 交易量

No

Zuckerberg

$615 交易量

Yes

Nicki / Minaj

$1,481 交易量

No

Homan

$3,354 交易量

No

Bush

$1,288 交易量

Yes

Caine

$2,432 交易量

Yes

Delcy

$1,113 交易量

No

Warren / Pocahontas

$1,405 交易量

Yes

Emmanuel / Macron

$641 交易量

Yes

Bolsonaro

$3,030 交易量

No

Bernie

$2,499 交易量

No

Oz

$977 交易量

Yes

Talarico

$3,950 交易量

No

Schumer

$807 交易量

Yes

Massie

$5,948 交易量

No

Kavanaugh

$771 交易量

No

Leavitt

$2,371 交易量

No

Jensen / Huang

$603 交易量

Yes

Gianni / Infantino

$3,916 交易量

Yes

Khamenei / Khomeini

$883 交易量

Yes

Maduro

$3,099 交易量

Yes

Viktor / Orbán

$794 交易量

Yes

Machado

$896 交易量

No

Kushner

$3,046 交易量

Yes

Netanyahu

$5,683 交易量

Yes

Keir / Starmer

$3,794 交易量

Yes

Elon / Musk

$1,152 交易量

No

Leo XIV / Pope

$50,825 交易量

Yes

Friedrich / Merz

$2,410 交易量

No

Castro

$1,237 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Recent resignations in the Trump cabinet—Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer on April 20 amid misconduct probes and Navy Secretary John Phelan on April 22—have intensified focus on potential verbal announcements of replacements like Tom Homan or Karoline Leavitt before the April 30 deadline. Trump's April 17 speech sharply criticizing Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Rand Paul over legislative opposition highlighted GOP fractures, boosting speculation on domestic political mentions. International friction, including FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 14 ICE raid request and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's rebukes of U.S. Iran policy, drew eyes to foreign figures. Absent qualifying verbal references at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner or April 27 King Charles III meeting, final press events remain key catalysts for market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$131,380
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Recent resignations in the Trump cabinet—Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer on April 20 amid misconduct probes and Navy Secretary John Phelan on April 22—have intensified focus on potential verbal announcements of replacements like Tom Homan or Karoline Leavitt before the April 30 deadline. Trump's April 17 speech sharply criticizing Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Rand Paul over legislative opposition highlighted GOP fractures, boosting speculation on domestic political mentions. International friction, including FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 14 ICE raid request and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's rebukes of U.S. Iran policy, drew eyes to foreign figures. Absent qualifying verbal references at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner or April 27 King Charles III meeting, final press events remain key catalysts for market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$131,380
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will Trump name in April?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 37 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Hillary"，概率为 100%，其次是"Kamala"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Who will Trump name in April?"已产生 $131.4K 的总交易量（自Mar 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will Trump name in April?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 37 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will Trump name in April?"的当前领先者是"Hillary"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Kamala"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will Trump name in April?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。