Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and “self-revolution” drive expectations for further leadership turnover in 2026, with recent actions underscoring the scope of potential targets. In January 2026, senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli faced investigation for discipline violations, extending purges that have removed multiple CMC members since 2023 and left the body with minimal active generals. July 2026 brought the expulsion of Politburo member and former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, the third such high-level removal since 2022. These moves, often linked to loyalty concerns and graft probes, have hollowed out senior PLA and CCP ranks ahead of the next Party Congress cycle, with analysts noting continued scrutiny of Xi-appointed officials across military commands, provincial posts, and central bodies as a persistent dynamic.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$196,584 交易量
2026-12-31
董军
15%
张升民
6%
蔡奇
5%
赵乐际
5%
王沪宁
4%
丁薛祥
4%
王毅
2%
李强
2%
李希
1%
$196,584 交易量
董军
$37,165 交易量
15%
张升民
$27,320 交易量
6%
蔡奇
$42,714 交易量
5%
赵乐际
$10,887 交易量
5%
王沪宁
$11,803 交易量
4%
丁薛祥
$16,053 交易量
4%
王毅
$15,608 交易量
2%
李强
$6,846 交易量
2%
李希
$28,189 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and “self-revolution” drive expectations for further leadership turnover in 2026, with recent actions underscoring the scope of potential targets. In January 2026, senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli faced investigation for discipline violations, extending purges that have removed multiple CMC members since 2023 and left the body with minimal active generals. July 2026 brought the expulsion of Politburo member and former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, the third such high-level removal since 2022. These moves, often linked to loyalty concerns and graft probes, have hollowed out senior PLA and CCP ranks ahead of the next Party Congress cycle, with analysts noting continued scrutiny of Xi-appointed officials across military commands, provincial posts, and central bodies as a persistent dynamic.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$196,584结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and “self-revolution” drive expectations for further leadership turnover in 2026, with recent actions underscoring the scope of potential targets. In January 2026, senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli faced investigation for discipline violations, extending purges that have removed multiple CMC members since 2023 and left the body with minimal active generals. July 2026 brought the expulsion of Politburo member and former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, the third such high-level removal since 2022. These moves, often linked to loyalty concerns and graft probes, have hollowed out senior PLA and CCP ranks ahead of the next Party Congress cycle, with analysts noting continued scrutiny of Xi-appointed officials across military commands, provincial posts, and central bodies as a persistent dynamic.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$196,584结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and “self-revolution” drive expectations for further leadership turnover in 2026, with recent actions underscoring the scope of potential targets. In January 2026, senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli faced investigation for discipline violations, extending purges that have removed multiple CMC members since 2023 and left the body with minimal active generals. July 2026 brought the expulsion of Politburo member and former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, the third such high-level removal since 2022. These moves, often linked to loyalty concerns and graft probes, have hollowed out senior PLA and CCP ranks ahead of the next Party Congress cycle, with analysts noting continued scrutiny of Xi-appointed officials across military commands, provincial posts, and central bodies as a persistent dynamic.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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