Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign and drive to enforce loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape trader expectations for 2026 purges. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a multi-year effort that removed five of seven CMC members elevated in 2022, alongside over 100 senior PLA officers since 2023. Subsequent actions included suspended death sentences for former defense ministers and, in July 2026, the expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These moves, framed officially as discipline enforcement, have hollowed out military command structures while extending scrutiny to civilian leadership circles, leaving only limited figures such as Zhang Shengmin on the CMC. Upcoming signals from party plenums or economic work conferences could indicate whether the campaign targets additional regional or central officials before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$199,181 交易量
2026-12-31
董军
12%
张升民
6%
蔡奇
6%
赵乐际
5%
丁薛祥
4%
王沪宁
4%
李希
3%
王毅
2%
李强
2%
$199,181 交易量
董军
$37,884 交易量
12%
张升民
$28,278 交易量
6%
蔡奇
$43,328 交易量
6%
赵乐际
$10,974 交易量
5%
丁薛祥
$16,099 交易量
4%
王沪宁
$11,823 交易量
4%
李希
$28,277 交易量
3%
王毅
$15,668 交易量
2%
李强
$6,851 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign and drive to enforce loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape trader expectations for 2026 purges. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a multi-year effort that removed five of seven CMC members elevated in 2022, alongside over 100 senior PLA officers since 2023. Subsequent actions included suspended death sentences for former defense ministers and, in July 2026, the expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These moves, framed officially as discipline enforcement, have hollowed out military command structures while extending scrutiny to civilian leadership circles, leaving only limited figures such as Zhang Shengmin on the CMC. Upcoming signals from party plenums or economic work conferences could indicate whether the campaign targets additional regional or central officials before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$199,181结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign and drive to enforce loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape trader expectations for 2026 purges. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a multi-year effort that removed five of seven CMC members elevated in 2022, alongside over 100 senior PLA officers since 2023. Subsequent actions included suspended death sentences for former defense ministers and, in July 2026, the expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These moves, framed officially as discipline enforcement, have hollowed out military command structures while extending scrutiny to civilian leadership circles, leaving only limited figures such as Zhang Shengmin on the CMC. Upcoming signals from party plenums or economic work conferences could indicate whether the campaign targets additional regional or central officials before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$199,181结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign and drive to enforce loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape trader expectations for 2026 purges. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a multi-year effort that removed five of seven CMC members elevated in 2022, alongside over 100 senior PLA officers since 2023. Subsequent actions included suspended death sentences for former defense ministers and, in July 2026, the expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These moves, framed officially as discipline enforcement, have hollowed out military command structures while extending scrutiny to civilian leadership circles, leaving only limited figures such as Zhang Shengmin on the CMC. Upcoming signals from party plenums or economic work conferences could indicate whether the campaign targets additional regional or central officials before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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