Ongoing anti-corruption efforts within the Chinese Communist Party continue to shape elite dynamics ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. At the October 2025 Fourth Plenum, 11 full Central Committee members and four alternates were expelled, marking the largest such action since 2017 and underscoring the campaign’s reach into senior ranks. Parallel military leadership changes, including a new Central Military Commission vice chair and reeducation directives for officers, reflect sustained focus on discipline and loyalty. In 2026, cadre assessment teams are scheduled to evaluate candidates for congress delegates and committee posts following spring meetings, with formal guidelines set by mid-year. These processes, alongside Xi’s calls for adaptability and enforcement of party standards, provide the primary institutional backdrop for personnel shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$196,303 交易量
2026-12-31
董军
8%
张升民
6%
蔡奇
5%
赵乐际
5%
王沪宁
4%
丁薛祥
4%
王毅
2%
李强
2%
李希
1%
$196,303 交易量
董军
$37,165 交易量
8%
张升民
$27,062 交易量
6%
蔡奇
$42,692 交易量
5%
赵乐际
$10,887 交易量
5%
王沪宁
$11,803 交易量
4%
丁薛祥
$16,053 交易量
4%
王毅
$15,608 交易量
2%
李强
$6,846 交易量
2%
李希
$28,189 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing anti-corruption efforts within the Chinese Communist Party continue to shape elite dynamics ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. At the October 2025 Fourth Plenum, 11 full Central Committee members and four alternates were expelled, marking the largest such action since 2017 and underscoring the campaign’s reach into senior ranks. Parallel military leadership changes, including a new Central Military Commission vice chair and reeducation directives for officers, reflect sustained focus on discipline and loyalty. In 2026, cadre assessment teams are scheduled to evaluate candidates for congress delegates and committee posts following spring meetings, with formal guidelines set by mid-year. These processes, alongside Xi’s calls for adaptability and enforcement of party standards, provide the primary institutional backdrop for personnel shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$196,303结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing anti-corruption efforts within the Chinese Communist Party continue to shape elite dynamics ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. At the October 2025 Fourth Plenum, 11 full Central Committee members and four alternates were expelled, marking the largest such action since 2017 and underscoring the campaign’s reach into senior ranks. Parallel military leadership changes, including a new Central Military Commission vice chair and reeducation directives for officers, reflect sustained focus on discipline and loyalty. In 2026, cadre assessment teams are scheduled to evaluate candidates for congress delegates and committee posts following spring meetings, with formal guidelines set by mid-year. These processes, alongside Xi’s calls for adaptability and enforcement of party standards, provide the primary institutional backdrop for personnel shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$196,303结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing anti-corruption efforts within the Chinese Communist Party continue to shape elite dynamics ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. At the October 2025 Fourth Plenum, 11 full Central Committee members and four alternates were expelled, marking the largest such action since 2017 and underscoring the campaign’s reach into senior ranks. Parallel military leadership changes, including a new Central Military Commission vice chair and reeducation directives for officers, reflect sustained focus on discipline and loyalty. In 2026, cadre assessment teams are scheduled to evaluate candidates for congress delegates and committee posts following spring meetings, with formal guidelines set by mid-year. These processes, alongside Xi’s calls for adaptability and enforcement of party standards, provide the primary institutional backdrop for personnel shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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