Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption drive and efforts to consolidate control over the People's Liberation Army and senior party ranks continue to shape trader views on potential 2026 purges. Defense Minister Dong Jun and Central Military Commission discipline chief Zhang Shengmin attract the most attention among contracts, reflecting their visibility in military oversight roles and historical patterns of investigations during leadership transitions. Low overall implied probabilities indicate limited near-term catalysts, though scheduled plenums, personnel reviews, and any reported disciplinary actions could shift sentiment. Traders weigh institutional stability against precedents of sudden high-level removals ahead of the 2027 party congress.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$196,584 交易量
2026-12-31
董军
15%
张升民
6%
蔡奇
5%
赵乐际
5%
王沪宁
4%
丁薛祥
4%
王毅
2%
李强
2%
李希
1%
$196,584 交易量
董军
$37,165 交易量
15%
张升民
$27,320 交易量
6%
蔡奇
$42,714 交易量
5%
赵乐际
$10,887 交易量
5%
王沪宁
$11,803 交易量
4%
丁薛祥
$16,053 交易量
4%
王毅
$15,608 交易量
2%
李强
$6,846 交易量
2%
李希
$28,189 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption drive and efforts to consolidate control over the People's Liberation Army and senior party ranks continue to shape trader views on potential 2026 purges. Defense Minister Dong Jun and Central Military Commission discipline chief Zhang Shengmin attract the most attention among contracts, reflecting their visibility in military oversight roles and historical patterns of investigations during leadership transitions. Low overall implied probabilities indicate limited near-term catalysts, though scheduled plenums, personnel reviews, and any reported disciplinary actions could shift sentiment. Traders weigh institutional stability against precedents of sudden high-level removals ahead of the 2027 party congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$196,584结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption drive and efforts to consolidate control over the People's Liberation Army and senior party ranks continue to shape trader views on potential 2026 purges. Defense Minister Dong Jun and Central Military Commission discipline chief Zhang Shengmin attract the most attention among contracts, reflecting their visibility in military oversight roles and historical patterns of investigations during leadership transitions. Low overall implied probabilities indicate limited near-term catalysts, though scheduled plenums, personnel reviews, and any reported disciplinary actions could shift sentiment. Traders weigh institutional stability against precedents of sudden high-level removals ahead of the 2027 party congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$196,584结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption drive and efforts to consolidate control over the People's Liberation Army and senior party ranks continue to shape trader views on potential 2026 purges. Defense Minister Dong Jun and Central Military Commission discipline chief Zhang Shengmin attract the most attention among contracts, reflecting their visibility in military oversight roles and historical patterns of investigations during leadership transitions. Low overall implied probabilities indicate limited near-term catalysts, though scheduled plenums, personnel reviews, and any reported disciplinary actions could shift sentiment. Traders weigh institutional stability against precedents of sudden high-level removals ahead of the 2027 party congress.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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