Trader consensus around a 99.3% probability of no divorce before 2027 reflects the absence of any official announcements or credible reporting on separation between Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan. State media continue to document their joint public appearances, including Peng's participation in spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit and diplomatic visits earlier in the year. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image as part of leadership authority, reinforced by tight information controls that limit leaks on personal matters. Historical precedent and the political costs of disrupting this narrative further anchor expectations. Late developments such as health-related statements or unprecedented official disclosures could still shift outcomes within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
<1% 概率
$110,998 交易量
$110,998 交易量
2026-12-31
是
<1% 概率
$110,998 交易量
$110,998 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus around a 99.3% probability of no divorce before 2027 reflects the absence of any official announcements or credible reporting on separation between Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan. State media continue to document their joint public appearances, including Peng's participation in spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit and diplomatic visits earlier in the year. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image as part of leadership authority, reinforced by tight information controls that limit leaks on personal matters. Historical precedent and the political costs of disrupting this narrative further anchor expectations. Late developments such as health-related statements or unprecedented official disclosures could still shift outcomes within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
市场开放时间： Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
交易量
$110,998结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus around a 99.3% probability of no divorce before 2027 reflects the absence of any official announcements or credible reporting on separation between Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan. State media continue to document their joint public appearances, including Peng's participation in spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit and diplomatic visits earlier in the year. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image as part of leadership authority, reinforced by tight information controls that limit leaks on personal matters. Historical precedent and the political costs of disrupting this narrative further anchor expectations. Late developments such as health-related statements or unprecedented official disclosures could still shift outcomes within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$110,998结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETTrader consensus around a 99.3% probability of no divorce before 2027 reflects the absence of any official announcements or credible reporting on separation between Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan. State media continue to document their joint public appearances, including Peng's participation in spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit and diplomatic visits earlier in the year. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image as part of leadership authority, reinforced by tight information controls that limit leaks on personal matters. Historical precedent and the political costs of disrupting this narrative further anchor expectations. Late developments such as health-related statements or unprecedented official disclosures could still shift outcomes within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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