Zhang Youxia, a vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption-related charges, amid Xi Jinping's ongoing PLA purge. Official announcements framed the probe as part of broader military discipline efforts, yet no trial, conviction, or formal sentencing has been reported through August 2026. In China's system, high-level cases typically advance first through extended internal party disciplinary channels before any criminal court process or prison term, creating structural delays that align with traders' 88.5% implied probability against sentencing before the end of 2026. The lack of further public escalations since the initial ouster reinforces this consensus on timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$151,491 交易量
$151,491 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$151,491 交易量
$151,491 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, a vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption-related charges, amid Xi Jinping's ongoing PLA purge. Official announcements framed the probe as part of broader military discipline efforts, yet no trial, conviction, or formal sentencing has been reported through August 2026. In China's system, high-level cases typically advance first through extended internal party disciplinary channels before any criminal court process or prison term, creating structural delays that align with traders' 88.5% implied probability against sentencing before the end of 2026. The lack of further public escalations since the initial ouster reinforces this consensus on timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
交易量
$151,491结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, a vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption-related charges, amid Xi Jinping's ongoing PLA purge. Official announcements framed the probe as part of broader military discipline efforts, yet no trial, conviction, or formal sentencing has been reported through August 2026. In China's system, high-level cases typically advance first through extended internal party disciplinary channels before any criminal court process or prison term, creating structural delays that align with traders' 88.5% implied probability against sentencing before the end of 2026. The lack of further public escalations since the initial ouster reinforces this consensus on timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$151,491结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zhang Youxia, a vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption-related charges, amid Xi Jinping's ongoing PLA purge. Official announcements framed the probe as part of broader military discipline efforts, yet no trial, conviction, or formal sentencing has been reported through August 2026. In China's system, high-level cases typically advance first through extended internal party disciplinary channels before any criminal court process or prison term, creating structural delays that align with traders' 88.5% implied probability against sentencing before the end of 2026. The lack of further public escalations since the initial ouster reinforces this consensus on timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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