Recent diplomatic momentum has slowed following Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Somaliland’s pledge, leaving traders to price a 69.6% chance that no additional country will formally join the Abraham Accords before 2027. Persistent regional tensions, including unresolved conflicts involving Syria, Lebanon, and Gaza-related issues, continue to constrain progress on high-profile candidates such as Saudi Arabia, which has repeatedly tied normalization to Palestinian statehood steps. Although the Trump administration has urged Riyadh and explored openings with Damascus, no binding agreements or scheduled signings have materialized in 2026. The remaining five-month window offers limited time for the required bilateral negotiations, Senate-level coordination, and public announcements that historically precede new accessions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$263,748 交易量
$263,748 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$263,748 交易量
$263,748 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum has slowed following Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Somaliland’s pledge, leaving traders to price a 69.6% chance that no additional country will formally join the Abraham Accords before 2027. Persistent regional tensions, including unresolved conflicts involving Syria, Lebanon, and Gaza-related issues, continue to constrain progress on high-profile candidates such as Saudi Arabia, which has repeatedly tied normalization to Palestinian statehood steps. Although the Trump administration has urged Riyadh and explored openings with Damascus, no binding agreements or scheduled signings have materialized in 2026. The remaining five-month window offers limited time for the required bilateral negotiations, Senate-level coordination, and public announcements that historically precede new accessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$263,748结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum has slowed following Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Somaliland’s pledge, leaving traders to price a 69.6% chance that no additional country will formally join the Abraham Accords before 2027. Persistent regional tensions, including unresolved conflicts involving Syria, Lebanon, and Gaza-related issues, continue to constrain progress on high-profile candidates such as Saudi Arabia, which has repeatedly tied normalization to Palestinian statehood steps. Although the Trump administration has urged Riyadh and explored openings with Damascus, no binding agreements or scheduled signings have materialized in 2026. The remaining five-month window offers limited time for the required bilateral negotiations, Senate-level coordination, and public announcements that historically precede new accessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$263,748结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum has slowed following Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Somaliland’s pledge, leaving traders to price a 69.6% chance that no additional country will formally join the Abraham Accords before 2027. Persistent regional tensions, including unresolved conflicts involving Syria, Lebanon, and Gaza-related issues, continue to constrain progress on high-profile candidates such as Saudi Arabia, which has repeatedly tied normalization to Palestinian statehood steps. Although the Trump administration has urged Riyadh and explored openings with Damascus, no binding agreements or scheduled signings have materialized in 2026. The remaining five-month window offers limited time for the required bilateral negotiations, Senate-level coordination, and public announcements that historically precede new accessions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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