**Recent diplomatic momentum has centered on Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and early 2026, plus Somaliland’s pledge tied to Israel’s recognition of the territory, but these have not produced additional sovereign-state signings.** As of August 2026, Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete Palestinian-state progress, a condition that remains unmet despite U.S. engagement and bilateral talks. Syria has signaled conditional openness following its 2024 leadership change, yet border frictions and security divergences have slowed talks. Other potential participants—Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Indonesia, or further Central Asian or African states—show no verified formal commitments or breakthroughs within the narrow window remaining before 2027. Traders therefore price the short remaining timeline and these structural obstacles as favoring no new accession by year-end, consistent with the 69.6 % probability on “No.”
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$263,748 交易量
$263,748 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$263,748 交易量
$263,748 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Recent diplomatic momentum has centered on Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and early 2026, plus Somaliland’s pledge tied to Israel’s recognition of the territory, but these have not produced additional sovereign-state signings.** As of August 2026, Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete Palestinian-state progress, a condition that remains unmet despite U.S. engagement and bilateral talks. Syria has signaled conditional openness following its 2024 leadership change, yet border frictions and security divergences have slowed talks. Other potential participants—Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Indonesia, or further Central Asian or African states—show no verified formal commitments or breakthroughs within the narrow window remaining before 2027. Traders therefore price the short remaining timeline and these structural obstacles as favoring no new accession by year-end, consistent with the 69.6 % probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$263,748结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Recent diplomatic momentum has centered on Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and early 2026, plus Somaliland’s pledge tied to Israel’s recognition of the territory, but these have not produced additional sovereign-state signings.** As of August 2026, Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete Palestinian-state progress, a condition that remains unmet despite U.S. engagement and bilateral talks. Syria has signaled conditional openness following its 2024 leadership change, yet border frictions and security divergences have slowed talks. Other potential participants—Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Indonesia, or further Central Asian or African states—show no verified formal commitments or breakthroughs within the narrow window remaining before 2027. Traders therefore price the short remaining timeline and these structural obstacles as favoring no new accession by year-end, consistent with the 69.6 % probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$263,748结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent diplomatic momentum has centered on Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and early 2026, plus Somaliland’s pledge tied to Israel’s recognition of the territory, but these have not produced additional sovereign-state signings.** As of August 2026, Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete Palestinian-state progress, a condition that remains unmet despite U.S. engagement and bilateral talks. Syria has signaled conditional openness following its 2024 leadership change, yet border frictions and security divergences have slowed talks. Other potential participants—Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Indonesia, or further Central Asian or African states—show no verified formal commitments or breakthroughs within the narrow window remaining before 2027. Traders therefore price the short remaining timeline and these structural obstacles as favoring no new accession by year-end, consistent with the 69.6 % probability on “No.”
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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