Traders assign a 69% probability that no additional country will join the Abraham Accords by the end of 2026, reflecting stalled high-profile normalization talks and the short timeline remaining. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following a White House summit, and Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet major candidates such as Saudi Arabia have reiterated that any deal requires concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood. U.S. President Trump has publicly linked Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation and other incentives to Abraham Accords membership, but Riyadh maintains its conditions amid ongoing regional conflicts involving Iran and its proxies. Limited movement with other potential signatories like Qatar, Oman, or Syria, combined with domestic political constraints and security recalibrations across the Gulf, has reinforced the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$262,067 交易量
$262,067 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$262,067 交易量
$262,067 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 69% probability that no additional country will join the Abraham Accords by the end of 2026, reflecting stalled high-profile normalization talks and the short timeline remaining. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following a White House summit, and Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet major candidates such as Saudi Arabia have reiterated that any deal requires concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood. U.S. President Trump has publicly linked Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation and other incentives to Abraham Accords membership, but Riyadh maintains its conditions amid ongoing regional conflicts involving Iran and its proxies. Limited movement with other potential signatories like Qatar, Oman, or Syria, combined with domestic political constraints and security recalibrations across the Gulf, has reinforced the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$262,067结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 69% probability that no additional country will join the Abraham Accords by the end of 2026, reflecting stalled high-profile normalization talks and the short timeline remaining. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following a White House summit, and Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet major candidates such as Saudi Arabia have reiterated that any deal requires concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood. U.S. President Trump has publicly linked Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation and other incentives to Abraham Accords membership, but Riyadh maintains its conditions amid ongoing regional conflicts involving Iran and its proxies. Limited movement with other potential signatories like Qatar, Oman, or Syria, combined with domestic political constraints and security recalibrations across the Gulf, has reinforced the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$262,067结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 69% probability that no additional country will join the Abraham Accords by the end of 2026, reflecting stalled high-profile normalization talks and the short timeline remaining. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following a White House summit, and Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet major candidates such as Saudi Arabia have reiterated that any deal requires concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood. U.S. President Trump has publicly linked Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation and other incentives to Abraham Accords membership, but Riyadh maintains its conditions amid ongoing regional conflicts involving Iran and its proxies. Limited movement with other potential signatories like Qatar, Oman, or Syria, combined with domestic political constraints and security recalibrations across the Gulf, has reinforced the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题