Recent regional conflicts and shifting Saudi strategic priorities have slowed momentum for further Abraham Accords expansion, leaving only months until the 2027 cutoff. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged to join following Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet no additional Muslim-majority states have advanced to signing ceremonies or formal agreements. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on progress toward a Palestinian state, while statements from Riyadh and other Gulf capitals signal preference for alternative security arrangements amid Iran-related tensions. With no scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs positioned to deliver results before year-end, trader consensus reflects the narrow remaining window and structural barriers to near-term accession by major candidates such as Saudi Arabia or Syria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$262,067 交易量
$262,067 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$262,067 交易量
$262,067 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent regional conflicts and shifting Saudi strategic priorities have slowed momentum for further Abraham Accords expansion, leaving only months until the 2027 cutoff. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged to join following Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet no additional Muslim-majority states have advanced to signing ceremonies or formal agreements. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on progress toward a Palestinian state, while statements from Riyadh and other Gulf capitals signal preference for alternative security arrangements amid Iran-related tensions. With no scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs positioned to deliver results before year-end, trader consensus reflects the narrow remaining window and structural barriers to near-term accession by major candidates such as Saudi Arabia or Syria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$262,067结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent regional conflicts and shifting Saudi strategic priorities have slowed momentum for further Abraham Accords expansion, leaving only months until the 2027 cutoff. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged to join following Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet no additional Muslim-majority states have advanced to signing ceremonies or formal agreements. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on progress toward a Palestinian state, while statements from Riyadh and other Gulf capitals signal preference for alternative security arrangements amid Iran-related tensions. With no scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs positioned to deliver results before year-end, trader consensus reflects the narrow remaining window and structural barriers to near-term accession by major candidates such as Saudi Arabia or Syria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$262,067结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent regional conflicts and shifting Saudi strategic priorities have slowed momentum for further Abraham Accords expansion, leaving only months until the 2027 cutoff. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged to join following Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet no additional Muslim-majority states have advanced to signing ceremonies or formal agreements. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on progress toward a Palestinian state, while statements from Riyadh and other Gulf capitals signal preference for alternative security arrangements amid Iran-related tensions. With no scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs positioned to deliver results before year-end, trader consensus reflects the narrow remaining window and structural barriers to near-term accession by major candidates such as Saudi Arabia or Syria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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