Following his second-place finish in Louisiana’s May 16 Republican Senate primary, where he advanced to the June 27 runoff against Rep. Julia Letlow, Treasurer John Fleming has shown no signs of withdrawing and continues active campaigning. Earlier allegations that Trump administration officials or Letlow allies offered him a CDC deputy director role to exit the race were publicly rejected months ago, and Fleming has since consolidated support from conservative grassroots networks despite opposition from Gov. Jeff Landry and heavy spending by Sen. Bill Cassidy’s campaign. With the runoff just weeks away and no new procedural or financial developments indicating an exit, traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that Fleming remains in the contest through resolution.