Trader consensus on the Georgia 11th congressional district Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with Chris Mora, Rob Adkerson, and Tricia Pridemore clustered tightly at 37.5%, 36.5%, and 35.5% implied probabilities, driven by recent polls showing no clear frontrunner amid similar fundraising totals around $200,000-$300,000 each. Incumbent Barry Loudermilk's low visibility post-January 6 committee role has opened space for challengers emphasizing border security and election integrity, keeping the multicandidate race competitive without a Trump endorsement breakthrough. Dynamics hinge on undecided voters in this red-leaning district; separation could emerge from final pre-May 21 debate performances, late donor surges, or GOP influencer backing, as historical primaries show late momentum shifts in crowded fields.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
Chris Mora 38%
Tricia Pridemore 36%
Rob Adkerson 35%
William Brown 22%
Chris Mora
38%
Tricia Pridemore
36%
Rob Adkerson
35%
William Brown
22%
John Cowan
21%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
21%
John Hobbs
20%
Lisa Carlquist
19%
Chris Mora 38%
Tricia Pridemore 36%
Rob Adkerson 35%
William Brown 22%
Chris Mora
38%
Tricia Pridemore
36%
Rob Adkerson
35%
William Brown
22%
John Cowan
21%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
21%
John Hobbs
20%
Lisa Carlquist
19%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Georgia 11th congressional district Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with Chris Mora, Rob Adkerson, and Tricia Pridemore clustered tightly at 37.5%, 36.5%, and 35.5% implied probabilities, driven by recent polls showing no clear frontrunner amid similar fundraising totals around $200,000-$300,000 each. Incumbent Barry Loudermilk's low visibility post-January 6 committee role has opened space for challengers emphasizing border security and election integrity, keeping the multicandidate race competitive without a Trump endorsement breakthrough. Dynamics hinge on undecided voters in this red-leaning district; separation could emerge from final pre-May 21 debate performances, late donor surges, or GOP influencer backing, as historical primaries show late momentum shifts in crowded fields.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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