Mark Lamb holds a commanding position in the AZ-05 Republican primary as the clear trader favorite, driven by his name recognition as a former Pinal County sheriff, a Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, and consistent polling leads exceeding 50 percent in late-2025 surveys. The primary field has narrowed following withdrawals by Jay Feely and Travis Grantham, concentrating attention on Lamb and lesser-known challenger Daniel Keenan. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety surfaced in May 2026 and prompted calls for Lamb to exit the race, yet market pricing reflects limited erosion in his support amid the short timeline to the July 21 primary. Law-enforcement endorsements and prior statewide visibility further bolster his standing relative to lower-profile opponents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马克·兰姆 32.2%
Jay Feely 3.0%
Travis Grantham 2.5%
$50,835 交易量
$50,835 交易量
2026-08-04
马克·兰姆
44%
Jay Feely
3%
Travis Grantham
3%
马克·兰姆 32.2%
Jay Feely 3.0%
Travis Grantham 2.5%
$50,835 交易量
$50,835 交易量
2026-08-04
马克·兰姆
$5,856 交易量
44%
Jay Feely
$43,116 交易量
3%
Travis Grantham
$1,863 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a commanding position in the AZ-05 Republican primary as the clear trader favorite, driven by his name recognition as a former Pinal County sheriff, a Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, and consistent polling leads exceeding 50 percent in late-2025 surveys. The primary field has narrowed following withdrawals by Jay Feely and Travis Grantham, concentrating attention on Lamb and lesser-known challenger Daniel Keenan. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety surfaced in May 2026 and prompted calls for Lamb to exit the race, yet market pricing reflects limited erosion in his support amid the short timeline to the July 21 primary. Law-enforcement endorsements and prior statewide visibility further bolster his standing relative to lower-profile opponents.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
交易量
$50,835结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a commanding position in the AZ-05 Republican primary as the clear trader favorite, driven by his name recognition as a former Pinal County sheriff, a Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, and consistent polling leads exceeding 50 percent in late-2025 surveys. The primary field has narrowed following withdrawals by Jay Feely and Travis Grantham, concentrating attention on Lamb and lesser-known challenger Daniel Keenan. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety surfaced in May 2026 and prompted calls for Lamb to exit the race, yet market pricing reflects limited erosion in his support amid the short timeline to the July 21 primary. Law-enforcement endorsements and prior statewide visibility further bolster his standing relative to lower-profile opponents.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$50,835结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb holds a commanding position in the AZ-05 Republican primary as the clear trader favorite, driven by his name recognition as a former Pinal County sheriff, a Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, and consistent polling leads exceeding 50 percent in late-2025 surveys. The primary field has narrowed following withdrawals by Jay Feely and Travis Grantham, concentrating attention on Lamb and lesser-known challenger Daniel Keenan. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety surfaced in May 2026 and prompted calls for Lamb to exit the race, yet market pricing reflects limited erosion in his support amid the short timeline to the July 21 primary. Law-enforcement endorsements and prior statewide visibility further bolster his standing relative to lower-profile opponents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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