Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field in trader consensus due to his high name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, strong fundraising, and endorsements from groups such as Club for Growth in this safely Republican East Valley district. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham trail sharply after withdrawing or shifting to other races, leaving Lamb in a head-to-head with construction contractor Daniel Keenan. Recent developments include May 2026 reports of alleged misconduct tied to Lamb that prompted a cease-and-desist exchange between the two remaining candidates, alongside polling showing Lamb maintaining a substantial lead into the July 21 primary. Traders appear to view these factors as insufficient to unseat Lamb before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马克·兰姆 32.2%
Jay Feely 3.0%
Travis Grantham 2.5%
$50,835 交易量
$50,835 交易量
2026-08-04
马克·兰姆
45%
Jay Feely
3%
Travis Grantham
3%
马克·兰姆 32.2%
Jay Feely 3.0%
Travis Grantham 2.5%
$50,835 交易量
$50,835 交易量
2026-08-04
马克·兰姆
$5,856 交易量
45%
Jay Feely
$43,116 交易量
3%
Travis Grantham
$1,863 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field in trader consensus due to his high name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, strong fundraising, and endorsements from groups such as Club for Growth in this safely Republican East Valley district. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham trail sharply after withdrawing or shifting to other races, leaving Lamb in a head-to-head with construction contractor Daniel Keenan. Recent developments include May 2026 reports of alleged misconduct tied to Lamb that prompted a cease-and-desist exchange between the two remaining candidates, alongside polling showing Lamb maintaining a substantial lead into the July 21 primary. Traders appear to view these factors as insufficient to unseat Lamb before the vote.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
交易量
$50,835结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field in trader consensus due to his high name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, strong fundraising, and endorsements from groups such as Club for Growth in this safely Republican East Valley district. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham trail sharply after withdrawing or shifting to other races, leaving Lamb in a head-to-head with construction contractor Daniel Keenan. Recent developments include May 2026 reports of alleged misconduct tied to Lamb that prompted a cease-and-desist exchange between the two remaining candidates, alongside polling showing Lamb maintaining a substantial lead into the July 21 primary. Traders appear to view these factors as insufficient to unseat Lamb before the vote.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$50,835结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field in trader consensus due to his high name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, strong fundraising, and endorsements from groups such as Club for Growth in this safely Republican East Valley district. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham trail sharply after withdrawing or shifting to other races, leaving Lamb in a head-to-head with construction contractor Daniel Keenan. Recent developments include May 2026 reports of alleged misconduct tied to Lamb that prompted a cease-and-desist exchange between the two remaining candidates, alongside polling showing Lamb maintaining a substantial lead into the July 21 primary. Traders appear to view these factors as insufficient to unseat Lamb before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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