The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour candidate Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor seeking a parliamentary seat amid party leadership speculation, against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local plumber and councillor. Recent Survation polling shows the race between them narrowing to single digits, with Burnham holding a modest lead and other candidates trailing far behind. This dynamic has consolidated trader consensus around Kenyon as the clear second-place finisher, reflecting Reform's rising support in the constituency on issues such as cost of living, immigration, and political trust. A BBC Question Time debate highlighted contrasts between Kenyon's local focus and Burnham's broader ambitions, reinforcing the two-candidate dynamic ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Robert Kenyon 80%
Andy Burnham 17%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.0%
James Thomas Bryer 1.1%
$18,419 交易量
$18,419 交易量
2026-06-18
Robert Kenyon
80%
Andy Burnham
17%
Rebecca Shepherd
4%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
Robert Kenyon 80%
Andy Burnham 17%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.0%
James Thomas Bryer 1.1%
$18,419 交易量
$18,419 交易量
2026-06-18
Robert Kenyon
$1,891 交易量
80%
Andy Burnham
$1,197 交易量
17%
Rebecca Shepherd
$13,108 交易量
4%
James Thomas Bryer
$462 交易量
1%
John Skipworth
$401 交易量
1%
Simon Finkelstein
$851 交易量
<1%
Maria Deery
$509 交易量
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour candidate Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor seeking a parliamentary seat amid party leadership speculation, against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local plumber and councillor. Recent Survation polling shows the race between them narrowing to single digits, with Burnham holding a modest lead and other candidates trailing far behind. This dynamic has consolidated trader consensus around Kenyon as the clear second-place finisher, reflecting Reform's rising support in the constituency on issues such as cost of living, immigration, and political trust. A BBC Question Time debate highlighted contrasts between Kenyon's local focus and Burnham's broader ambitions, reinforcing the two-candidate dynamic ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign stretch.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$18,419结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour candidate Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor seeking a parliamentary seat amid party leadership speculation, against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local plumber and councillor. Recent Survation polling shows the race between them narrowing to single digits, with Burnham holding a modest lead and other candidates trailing far behind. This dynamic has consolidated trader consensus around Kenyon as the clear second-place finisher, reflecting Reform's rising support in the constituency on issues such as cost of living, immigration, and political trust. A BBC Question Time debate highlighted contrasts between Kenyon's local focus and Burnham's broader ambitions, reinforcing the two-candidate dynamic ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign stretch.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$18,419结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour candidate Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor seeking a parliamentary seat amid party leadership speculation, against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local plumber and councillor. Recent Survation polling shows the race between them narrowing to single digits, with Burnham holding a modest lead and other candidates trailing far behind. This dynamic has consolidated trader consensus around Kenyon as the clear second-place finisher, reflecting Reform's rising support in the constituency on issues such as cost of living, immigration, and political trust. A BBC Question Time debate highlighted contrasts between Kenyon's local focus and Burnham's broader ambitions, reinforcing the two-candidate dynamic ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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