Traders on Polymarket price a tight contest for the Bank of England's June 20 Monetary Policy Committee decision, with a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike to 5.50% at 43% implied probability edging out no change at 39.5%, reflecting sticky services inflation despite headline CPI easing to the 2% target in May. Core CPI dipped to 3.5% and three-month wage growth slowed to 5.9%, but MPC hawkish rhetoric from Governor Bailey and new Deputy Pill underscores caution amid persistent services pressures at 5.7%. Labor market softening—with unemployment at 4.4%—bolsters cut odds below 10%, yet traders await MPC minutes for clarity on the forward path versus market-implied 25bps easing by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于加息25个基点 43%
No change 40%
25 bps decrease 10%
加息50个基点以上 9%
$11,586 交易量
$11,586 交易量
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
8%
25 bps decrease
10%
No change
40%
加息25个基点
43%
加息50个基点以上
9%
加息25个基点 43%
No change 40%
25 bps decrease 10%
加息50个基点以上 9%
$11,586 交易量
$11,586 交易量
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$162 交易量
8%
25 bps decrease
$25 交易量
10%
No change
$2,073 交易量
40%
加息25个基点
$9,296 交易量
43%
加息50个基点以上
$30 交易量
9%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders on Polymarket price a tight contest for the Bank of England's June 20 Monetary Policy Committee decision, with a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike to 5.50% at 43% implied probability edging out no change at 39.5%, reflecting sticky services inflation despite headline CPI easing to the 2% target in May. Core CPI dipped to 3.5% and three-month wage growth slowed to 5.9%, but MPC hawkish rhetoric from Governor Bailey and new Deputy Pill underscores caution amid persistent services pressures at 5.7%. Labor market softening—with unemployment at 4.4%—bolsters cut odds below 10%, yet traders await MPC minutes for clarity on the forward path versus market-implied 25bps easing by year-end.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$11,586结束日期
Jun 18, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders on Polymarket price a tight contest for the Bank of England's June 20 Monetary Policy Committee decision, with a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike to 5.50% at 43% implied probability edging out no change at 39.5%, reflecting sticky services inflation despite headline CPI easing to the 2% target in May. Core CPI dipped to 3.5% and three-month wage growth slowed to 5.9%, but MPC hawkish rhetoric from Governor Bailey and new Deputy Pill underscores caution amid persistent services pressures at 5.7%. Labor market softening—with unemployment at 4.4%—bolsters cut odds below 10%, yet traders await MPC minutes for clarity on the forward path versus market-implied 25bps easing by year-end.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$11,586结束日期
Jun 18, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders on Polymarket price a tight contest for the Bank of England's June 20 Monetary Policy Committee decision, with a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike to 5.50% at 43% implied probability edging out no change at 39.5%, reflecting sticky services inflation despite headline CPI easing to the 2% target in May. Core CPI dipped to 3.5% and three-month wage growth slowed to 5.9%, but MPC hawkish rhetoric from Governor Bailey and new Deputy Pill underscores caution amid persistent services pressures at 5.7%. Labor market softening—with unemployment at 4.4%—bolsters cut odds below 10%, yet traders await MPC minutes for clarity on the forward path versus market-implied 25bps easing by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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