**Peru’s interim government under José María Balcázar rejected all 17 pardon requests for former President Pedro Castillo in July 2026, with Justice Minister Luis Jiménez stating the Commission of Presidential Pardons found none met legal requirements for the conspiracy-to-rebellion conviction or ongoing corruption cases.** Keiko Fujimori, inaugurated on July 28 after defeating a candidate who pledged Castillo’s release, has maintained this stance. Her Justice Minister later described any pardon as “impossible” in the current scenario and dismissed related protests as blackmail. Castillo remains imprisoned serving an 11-year-5-month sentence, with preventive detention extended into 2027 and a UN working-group opinion prompting only unsuccessful habeas corpus filings. These official rejections and the new administration’s position underpin traders’ strong consensus against a 2026 pardon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于11% 概率
$43,495 交易量
$43,495 交易量
2026-12-30
11% 概率
$43,495 交易量
$43,495 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Peru’s interim government under José María Balcázar rejected all 17 pardon requests for former President Pedro Castillo in July 2026, with Justice Minister Luis Jiménez stating the Commission of Presidential Pardons found none met legal requirements for the conspiracy-to-rebellion conviction or ongoing corruption cases.** Keiko Fujimori, inaugurated on July 28 after defeating a candidate who pledged Castillo’s release, has maintained this stance. Her Justice Minister later described any pardon as “impossible” in the current scenario and dismissed related protests as blackmail. Castillo remains imprisoned serving an 11-year-5-month sentence, with preventive detention extended into 2027 and a UN working-group opinion prompting only unsuccessful habeas corpus filings. These official rejections and the new administration’s position underpin traders’ strong consensus against a 2026 pardon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$43,495结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Peru’s interim government under José María Balcázar rejected all 17 pardon requests for former President Pedro Castillo in July 2026, with Justice Minister Luis Jiménez stating the Commission of Presidential Pardons found none met legal requirements for the conspiracy-to-rebellion conviction or ongoing corruption cases.** Keiko Fujimori, inaugurated on July 28 after defeating a candidate who pledged Castillo’s release, has maintained this stance. Her Justice Minister later described any pardon as “impossible” in the current scenario and dismissed related protests as blackmail. Castillo remains imprisoned serving an 11-year-5-month sentence, with preventive detention extended into 2027 and a UN working-group opinion prompting only unsuccessful habeas corpus filings. These official rejections and the new administration’s position underpin traders’ strong consensus against a 2026 pardon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$43,495结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET**Peru’s interim government under José María Balcázar rejected all 17 pardon requests for former President Pedro Castillo in July 2026, with Justice Minister Luis Jiménez stating the Commission of Presidential Pardons found none met legal requirements for the conspiracy-to-rebellion conviction or ongoing corruption cases.** Keiko Fujimori, inaugurated on July 28 after defeating a candidate who pledged Castillo’s release, has maintained this stance. Her Justice Minister later described any pardon as “impossible” in the current scenario and dismissed related protests as blackmail. Castillo remains imprisoned serving an 11-year-5-month sentence, with preventive detention extended into 2027 and a UN working-group opinion prompting only unsuccessful habeas corpus filings. These official rejections and the new administration’s position underpin traders’ strong consensus against a 2026 pardon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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