Trump has issued over 160 clemencies in his second term through September 2026, including a January 2025 blanket action for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, pardons tied to the 2020 fake electors matter, and recent grants for firearms violations, fraud, and drug offenses. A September 2026 batch of about 30 actions, including Patrick Tate Adamiak’s weapons conviction pardon, reflects continued use of informal advocacy channels rather than standard Department of Justice processes. These patterns, combined with the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, shape trader views on remaining candidates by highlighting Trump’s focus on political allies, regulatory cases, and connected individuals while underscoring the unpredictable nature of future grants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$463,148 交易量
2026-12-31
罗杰·斯通
22%
斯蒂芬·布罗迪
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
马特·盖茨
13%
罗杰·维尔
13%
瑞安·萨拉梅
13%
丹尼尔·佩尼
11%
唐纳德·布罗迪
11%
史蒂夫·班农
9%
埃里克·亚当斯
9%
乔·埃克索蒂克
9%
Young Thug
7%
朱利安·阿桑奇
6%
鲍勃·梅嫩德斯
6%
安德鲁·泰特
5%
马丁·施克雷利
5%
伊丽莎白·霍姆斯
5%
吉斯莱恩·麦克斯韦尔
5%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
5%
Diddy
4%
爱德华·斯诺登
4%
萨姆·班克曼-弗里德
4%
德里克·肖万
3%
安托万·马西
3%
他自己
3%
Do Kwon
3%
埃隆·马斯克
2%
亨特·拜登
1%
$463,148 交易量
罗杰·斯通
$8,405 交易量
22%
斯蒂芬·布罗迪
$2,809 交易量
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
$17,544 交易量
15%
马特·盖茨
$6,294 交易量
13%
罗杰·维尔
$2,260 交易量
13%
瑞安·萨拉梅
$31,835 交易量
13%
丹尼尔·佩尼
$508 交易量
11%
唐纳德·布罗迪
$4,238 交易量
11%
史蒂夫·班农
$8,049 交易量
9%
埃里克·亚当斯
$1,101 交易量
9%
乔·埃克索蒂克
$5,369 交易量
9%
Young Thug
$4,717 交易量
7%
朱利安·阿桑奇
$4,218 交易量
6%
鲍勃·梅嫩德斯
$295 交易量
6%
安德鲁·泰特
$1,445 交易量
5%
马丁·施克雷利
$30,439 交易量
5%
伊丽莎白·霍姆斯
$3,613 交易量
5%
吉斯莱恩·麦克斯韦尔
$25,158 交易量
5%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
$10,351 交易量
5%
Diddy
$30,270 交易量
4%
爱德华·斯诺登
$3,183 交易量
4%
萨姆·班克曼-弗里德
$136,103 交易量
4%
德里克·肖万
$26,611 交易量
3%
安托万·马西
$2,480 交易量
3%
他自己
$13,668 交易量
3%
Do Kwon
$23,621 交易量
3%
埃隆·马斯克
$52,917 交易量
2%
亨特·拜登
$5,651 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued over 160 clemencies in his second term through September 2026, including a January 2025 blanket action for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, pardons tied to the 2020 fake electors matter, and recent grants for firearms violations, fraud, and drug offenses. A September 2026 batch of about 30 actions, including Patrick Tate Adamiak’s weapons conviction pardon, reflects continued use of informal advocacy channels rather than standard Department of Justice processes. These patterns, combined with the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, shape trader views on remaining candidates by highlighting Trump’s focus on political allies, regulatory cases, and connected individuals while underscoring the unpredictable nature of future grants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
交易量
$463,148结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued over 160 clemencies in his second term through September 2026, including a January 2025 blanket action for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, pardons tied to the 2020 fake electors matter, and recent grants for firearms violations, fraud, and drug offenses. A September 2026 batch of about 30 actions, including Patrick Tate Adamiak’s weapons conviction pardon, reflects continued use of informal advocacy channels rather than standard Department of Justice processes. These patterns, combined with the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, shape trader views on remaining candidates by highlighting Trump’s focus on political allies, regulatory cases, and connected individuals while underscoring the unpredictable nature of future grants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$463,148结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETTrump has issued over 160 clemencies in his second term through September 2026, including a January 2025 blanket action for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, pardons tied to the 2020 fake electors matter, and recent grants for firearms violations, fraud, and drug offenses. A September 2026 batch of about 30 actions, including Patrick Tate Adamiak’s weapons conviction pardon, reflects continued use of informal advocacy channels rather than standard Department of Justice processes. These patterns, combined with the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, shape trader views on remaining candidates by highlighting Trump’s focus on political allies, regulatory cases, and connected individuals while underscoring the unpredictable nature of future grants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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