Bipartisan Senate opposition and explicit administration signals have reinforced trader expectations against a Trump pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. In July 2026, the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution opposing any clemency tied to her sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche testified in May that the Justice Department would not recommend such action. Maxwell has exhausted appeals, leaving executive clemency as her primary remaining option, yet Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and would consult the Department of Justice if approached. No formal pardon application has advanced, amid sustained scrutiny over Epstein files and survivor advocacy that analysts describe as carrying substantial political costs through the midterms and beyond.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
8% 概率
$756,794 交易量
$756,794 交易量
2026-12-30
赚 3.25% 收益
是
8% 概率
$756,794 交易量
$756,794 交易量
2026-12-30
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition and explicit administration signals have reinforced trader expectations against a Trump pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. In July 2026, the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution opposing any clemency tied to her sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche testified in May that the Justice Department would not recommend such action. Maxwell has exhausted appeals, leaving executive clemency as her primary remaining option, yet Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and would consult the Department of Justice if approached. No formal pardon application has advanced, amid sustained scrutiny over Epstein files and survivor advocacy that analysts describe as carrying substantial political costs through the midterms and beyond.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
交易量
$756,794结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition and explicit administration signals have reinforced trader expectations against a Trump pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. In July 2026, the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution opposing any clemency tied to her sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche testified in May that the Justice Department would not recommend such action. Maxwell has exhausted appeals, leaving executive clemency as her primary remaining option, yet Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and would consult the Department of Justice if approached. No formal pardon application has advanced, amid sustained scrutiny over Epstein files and survivor advocacy that analysts describe as carrying substantial political costs through the midterms and beyond.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$756,794结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETBipartisan Senate opposition and explicit administration signals have reinforced trader expectations against a Trump pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. In July 2026, the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution opposing any clemency tied to her sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche testified in May that the Justice Department would not recommend such action. Maxwell has exhausted appeals, leaving executive clemency as her primary remaining option, yet Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and would consult the Department of Justice if approached. No formal pardon application has advanced, amid sustained scrutiny over Epstein files and survivor advocacy that analysts describe as carrying substantial political costs through the midterms and beyond.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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