Jerry Carl holds a strong lead in the AL-01 Republican primary market following his 40.3% finish in the May 19 primary, ahead of Rhett Marques at 31.1%, with the remaining candidates trailing far behind. Redistricting litigation has created procedural uncertainty, including court rulings that voided or revived results and shifted between a June 16 runoff and an August 11 special primary. Carl’s prior service in the seat, higher name recognition, and geographic support in the Mobile area have shaped trader consensus around his position. Marques has shown fundraising strength in recent quarters and competitive polling in some surveys, yet faces an uphill path given the primary vote split and ongoing map disputes that could alter turnout or eligibility. Lower-polling candidates show limited viability absent major shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jerry Carl 83%
雷特·马尔克斯 8%
奥斯汀·西德威尔 3.6%
詹姆斯·迪斯 2.5%
$45,519 交易量
$45,519 交易量
Jerry Carl
75%
雷特·马尔克斯
25%
奥斯汀·西德威尔
4%
詹姆斯·迪斯
3%
约书亚·麦基
2%
詹姆斯·理查森
1%
约翰·米尔斯
1%
Jerry Carl 83%
雷特·马尔克斯 8%
奥斯汀·西德威尔 3.6%
詹姆斯·迪斯 2.5%
$45,519 交易量
$45,519 交易量
Jerry Carl
75%
雷特·马尔克斯
25%
奥斯汀·西德威尔
4%
詹姆斯·迪斯
3%
约书亚·麦基
2%
詹姆斯·理查森
1%
约翰·米尔斯
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl holds a strong lead in the AL-01 Republican primary market following his 40.3% finish in the May 19 primary, ahead of Rhett Marques at 31.1%, with the remaining candidates trailing far behind. Redistricting litigation has created procedural uncertainty, including court rulings that voided or revived results and shifted between a June 16 runoff and an August 11 special primary. Carl’s prior service in the seat, higher name recognition, and geographic support in the Mobile area have shaped trader consensus around his position. Marques has shown fundraising strength in recent quarters and competitive polling in some surveys, yet faces an uphill path given the primary vote split and ongoing map disputes that could alter turnout or eligibility. Lower-polling candidates show limited viability absent major shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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