Matt Little holds a strong lead in the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary for Minnesota’s open 2nd Congressional District seat because he secured the DFL party endorsement and multiple high-profile backings, including from U.S. Rep. Betty McCollum and MoveOn, while demonstrating robust local fundraising and name recognition as a former Lakeville mayor and state senator. Kaela Berg, a sitting state representative, flight attendant, and union leader backed by EMILYs List, remains the main alternative with labor-focused appeal but trails due to the party’s organizational support for Little. Matt Klein has minimal visibility in recent campaign activity. The short timeline to primary day leaves limited room for late shifts absent major new endorsements or turnout surprises in this swing district.