Eric Pratt secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District after Tyler Kistner withdrew in April 2026 due to Marine Reserve activation and Jeremy Westby exited the race shortly before the August 11 primary. Pratt, a state senator since 2013, faced no active opposition on the ballot and advanced as the nominee following an earlier convention where he captured a majority of delegate support. These developments left traders with limited scenarios for an alternative outcome, such as an unexpected late filing or successful challenge to ballot access. The implied probability aligns with the absence of remaining viable contenders and the timing of the primary results.